The Minnesota Timberwolves have 81% of spread bets but only 38% of the money in Warriors at Timberwolves, a 43-point split.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Golden State Warriors +3.5 | 19% | 62% | -111 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves -3.5 | 81% | 38% | -109 | |
| Total | Over 225.5 | 83% | 69% | -110 |
| Under 225.5 | 17% | 31% | -110 | |
| Moneyline | Golden State Warriors | 16% | 94% | +125 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 84% | 6% | -150 |
The tickets and the dollars disagree on Golden State Warriors at Minnesota Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves (-3.5) have 81% of the spread bets but only 38% of the money, so the average bet on the Golden State Warriors is a good deal larger than the average bet on the Minnesota Timberwolves.
A split of 43 points is rare on an NBA spread: only about one game in eight reaches 10. It tells you the bigger bettors see this game differently from the crowd. It doesn't tell you they're right: across the last two seasons, following the money on NBA spreads did not reliably beat the bookmaker's margin.
On the total, 83% of bets and 69% of the money are on the Over 225.5. That's the normal pattern in the NBA: over the last two seasons, 60% or more of total bets landed on the over in about 96% of games.
None of this is a pick. It's how bets and money are landing on this game right now. See every NBA game tonight →
NBA analytics tracks a short list of signals from two seasons of closing lines, graded live as the season goes, plus the betting habits worth knowing about. No picks until a signal earns it. For subscribers.
See NBA analytics →Want a free look? See every NBA game tonight →
The Minnesota Timberwolves have 38% of the spread dollars against 81% of the tickets, a 43-point difference. A gap that size means the larger bets are not landing in the same proportions as the ticket count.
Bet percentage counts tickets: every wager counts once. Money percentage counts dollars, so one $1,000 bet outweighs a hundred $10 ones. Reading the two together shows whether the bigger bettors agree with the crowd.
It's on the high side. The typical NBA game closes with about 61% of spread tickets on the more popular side, and one game in four clears 68%. Even so, a split this one-sided says what the crowd thinks, not what will happen.
Not on the split alone. Across the last two NBA seasons, neither backing the side with more money than tickets nor fading heavily bet spread sides reliably beat the bookmaker's margin at closing prices. Splits are context for your own read, not a pick.
Almost always. Over the last two seasons, 60% or more of total bets landed on the over in about 96% of NBA games. On this game the public side of the total is the Over 225.5.
Every ticket counts once in the bet percentage, but in the money percentage a $1,000 bet counts a hundred times more than a $10 one. When the two disagree, the bigger bets are landing somewhere other than the crowd. On NBA spreads the two usually sit close: last season the typical closing gap was about 4 points, and only about one game in eight reached 10. On its own, following the money has not reliably beaten NBA prices. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money: see our methodology →
Last updated: October 28, 2026 at 1:08 AM UTC
Bets and money on the spread, moneyline and total for the whole slate, with the most lopsided splits up top. No signup, no paywall.
See tonight's NBA splits →