The Boston Celtics have 80% of spread bets but only 64% of the money in Bucks at Celtics, a 16-point split.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Milwaukee Bucks +11.5 | 20% | 36% | -115 |
| Boston Celtics -11.5 | 80% | 64% | -105 | |
| Total | Over 223.5 | 80% | 85% | -111 |
| Under 223.5 | 20% | 15% | -110 | |
| Moneyline | Milwaukee Bucks | 4% | 28% | +385 |
| Boston Celtics | 96% | 72% | -500 |
The tickets and the dollars disagree on Milwaukee Bucks at Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics (-11.5) have 80% of the spread bets but only 64% of the money, so the average bet on the Milwaukee Bucks is a good deal larger than the average bet on the Boston Celtics.
A split of 16 points is rare on an NBA spread: only about one game in eight reaches 10. It tells you the bigger bettors see this game differently from the crowd. It doesn't tell you they're right: across the last two seasons, following the money on NBA spreads did not reliably beat the bookmaker's margin.
On the total, 80% of bets and 85% of the money are on the Over 223.5. That's the normal pattern in the NBA: over the last two seasons, 60% or more of total bets landed on the over in about 96% of games.
None of this is a pick. It's how bets and money are landing on this game right now. See every NBA game tonight →
NBA analytics tracks a short list of signals from two seasons of closing lines, graded live as the season goes, plus the betting habits worth knowing about. No picks until a signal earns it. For subscribers.
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At the latest snapshot, the Boston Celtics have 80% of the spread bets and 64% of the money. The table above has both sides of the spread, the total and the moneyline.
It's on the high side. The typical NBA game closes with about 61% of spread tickets on the more popular side, and one game in four clears 68%. Even so, a split this one-sided says what the crowd thinks, not what will happen.
Through the day on game days, from publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence, until tip-off. The page shows the latest snapshot each time it loads.
The favorite gives points and the underdog gets them. A favorite at -6.5 has to win by 7 or more to cover; the underdog at +6.5 covers with a win or a loss by 6 or fewer. Unlike hockey's fixed puck line, the number itself moves with the betting.
Not on the split alone. Across the last two NBA seasons, neither backing the side with more money than tickets nor fading heavily bet spread sides reliably beat the bookmaker's margin at closing prices. Splits are context for your own read, not a pick.
Every ticket counts once in the bet percentage, but in the money percentage a $1,000 bet counts a hundred times more than a $10 one. When the two disagree, the bigger bets are landing somewhere other than the crowd. On NBA spreads the two usually sit close: last season the typical closing gap was about 4 points, and only about one game in eight reached 10. On its own, following the money has not reliably beaten NBA prices. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money: see our methodology →
Last updated: November 4, 2026 at 1:50 AM UTC
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