The Cleveland Cavaliers have 78% of spread bets but only 48% of the money in Thunder at Cavaliers, a 30-point split.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Oklahoma City Thunder +4.5 | 22% | 52% | -111 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers -4.5 | 78% | 48% | -109 | |
| Total | Over 227.5 | 85% | 85% | -110 |
| Under 227.5 | 15% | 15% | -110 | |
| Moneyline | Oklahoma City Thunder | 27% | 31% | +150 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 73% | 69% | -180 |
The tickets and the dollars disagree on Oklahoma City Thunder at Cleveland Cavaliers. The Cleveland Cavaliers (-4.5) have 78% of the spread bets but only 48% of the money, so the average bet on the Oklahoma City Thunder is a good deal larger than the average bet on the Cleveland Cavaliers.
A split of 30 points is rare on an NBA spread: only about one game in eight reaches 10. It tells you the bigger bettors see this game differently from the crowd. It doesn't tell you they're right: across the last two seasons, following the money on NBA spreads did not reliably beat the bookmaker's margin.
On the total, 85% of bets and 85% of the money are on the Over 227.5. That's the normal pattern in the NBA: over the last two seasons, 60% or more of total bets landed on the over in about 96% of games.
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Bet percentage counts tickets: every wager counts once. Money percentage counts dollars, so one $1,000 bet outweighs a hundred $10 ones. Reading the two together shows whether the bigger bettors agree with the crowd.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have 48% of the spread dollars against 78% of the tickets, a 30-point difference. A gap that size means the larger bets are not landing in the same proportions as the ticket count.
It's on the high side. The typical NBA game closes with about 61% of spread tickets on the more popular side, and one game in four clears 68%. Even so, a split this one-sided says what the crowd thinks, not what will happen.
The favorite gives points and the underdog gets them. A favorite at -6.5 has to win by 7 or more to cover; the underdog at +6.5 covers with a win or a loss by 6 or fewer. Unlike hockey's fixed puck line, the number itself moves with the betting.
No. They reflect publicly reported sportsbook handle, aggregated, rather than a single book's customers. Individual books can differ, especially early in the day when few bets are in.
Every ticket counts once in the bet percentage, but in the money percentage a $1,000 bet counts a hundred times more than a $10 one. When the two disagree, the bigger bets are landing somewhere other than the crowd. On NBA spreads the two usually sit close: last season the typical closing gap was about 4 points, and only about one game in eight reached 10. On its own, following the money has not reliably beaten NBA prices. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money: see our methodology →
Last updated: November 2, 2026 at 1:55 AM UTC
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