The Memphis Grizzlies have 73% of spread bets but only 15% of the money in Kings at Grizzlies, a 58-point split.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sacramento Kings +10.5 | 27% | 85% | -106 |
| Memphis Grizzlies -10.5 | 73% | 15% | -114 | |
| Total | Over 233 | 97% | 96% | -110 |
| Under 233 | 3% | 4% | -110 | |
| Moneyline | Sacramento Kings | 11% | 14% | +360 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 89% | 86% | -475 |
The tickets and the dollars disagree on Sacramento Kings at Memphis Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies (-10.5) have 73% of the spread bets but only 15% of the money, so the average bet on the Sacramento Kings is a good deal larger than the average bet on the Memphis Grizzlies.
A split of 58 points is rare on an NBA spread: only about one game in eight reaches 10. It tells you the bigger bettors see this game differently from the crowd. It doesn't tell you they're right: across the last two seasons, following the money on NBA spreads did not reliably beat the bookmaker's margin.
On the total, 97% of bets and 96% of the money are on the Over 233. That's the normal pattern in the NBA: over the last two seasons, 60% or more of total bets landed on the over in about 96% of games.
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The Memphis Grizzlies have 15% of the spread dollars against 73% of the tickets, a 58-point difference. A gap that size means the larger bets are not landing in the same proportions as the ticket count.
It's on the high side. The typical NBA game closes with about 61% of spread tickets on the more popular side, and one game in four clears 68%. Even so, a split this one-sided says what the crowd thinks, not what will happen.
The favorite gives points and the underdog gets them. A favorite at -6.5 has to win by 7 or more to cover; the underdog at +6.5 covers with a win or a loss by 6 or fewer. Unlike hockey's fixed puck line, the number itself moves with the betting.
At the latest snapshot, the Memphis Grizzlies have 73% of the spread bets and 15% of the money. The table above has both sides of the spread, the total and the moneyline.
No. They reflect publicly reported sportsbook handle, aggregated, rather than a single book's customers. Individual books can differ, especially early in the day when few bets are in.
Every ticket counts once in the bet percentage, but in the money percentage a $1,000 bet counts a hundred times more than a $10 one. When the two disagree, the bigger bets are landing somewhere other than the crowd. On NBA spreads the two usually sit close: last season the typical closing gap was about 4 points, and only about one game in eight reached 10. On its own, following the money has not reliably beaten NBA prices. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money: see our methodology →
Last updated: October 31, 2026 at 5:03 AM UTC
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