The money is even more one-sided than the tickets in Raptors at Wizards: the Toronto Raptors have 72% of spread bets and 84% of the dollars.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Toronto Raptors -5.5 | 72% | 84% | -110 |
| Washington Wizards +5.5 | 28% | 16% | -110 | |
| Total | Over 236.5 | 80% | 81% | -109 |
| Under 236.5 | 20% | 19% | -111 | |
| Moneyline | Toronto Raptors | 86% | 93% | -210 |
| Washington Wizards | 14% | 7% | +176 |
The dollars are even more one-sided than the tickets on Toronto Raptors at Washington Wizards. The Toronto Raptors (-5.5) have 72% of the spread bets and 84% of the money, so the bigger bets are on the same side as the crowd, only more so.
That's a 12-point gap in the other direction from the usual one. There's no disagreement to read here: large and small bettors want the same side, and the line already reflects it.
On the total, 80% of bets and 81% of the money are on the Over 236.5. That's the normal pattern in the NBA: over the last two seasons, 60% or more of total bets landed on the over in about 96% of games.
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The Toronto Raptors have 84% of the spread dollars against 72% of the tickets, a 12-point difference. A gap that size means the larger bets are not landing in the same proportions as the ticket count.
At the latest snapshot, the Toronto Raptors have 72% of the spread bets and 84% of the money. The table above has both sides of the spread, the total and the moneyline.
Almost always. Over the last two seasons, 60% or more of total bets landed on the over in about 96% of NBA games. On this game the public side of the total is the Over 236.5.
Not on the split alone. Across the last two NBA seasons, neither backing the side with more money than tickets nor fading heavily bet spread sides reliably beat the bookmaker's margin at closing prices. Splits are context for your own read, not a pick.
The favorite gives points and the underdog gets them. A favorite at -6.5 has to win by 7 or more to cover; the underdog at +6.5 covers with a win or a loss by 6 or fewer. Unlike hockey's fixed puck line, the number itself moves with the betting.
Every ticket counts once in the bet percentage, but in the money percentage a $1,000 bet counts a hundred times more than a $10 one. When the two disagree, the bigger bets are landing somewhere other than the crowd. On NBA spreads the two usually sit close: last season the typical closing gap was about 4 points, and only about one game in eight reached 10. On its own, following the money has not reliably beaten NBA prices. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money: see our methodology →
Last updated: October 22, 2026 at 9:47 PM UTC
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