The Miami Heat drew 50.5% of spread bets on average in 2025-26, #14 of 30, and went 44-35-1 against the spread.
| 2026-27 | 2025-26 | |
|---|---|---|
| Games tracked | 1 | 80 |
| Record against the spread | 0-1 | 44-35-1 |
| Average share of spread bets | 45% | 50.5% |
| Average share of spread money | 48% | 50.9% |
| Rank by bet share | #18 of 28 | #14 of 30 |
| Games as the public side (60%+ of bets) | 0 | 21 |
| Record as the public side, against the spread | n/a | 11-10 |
Regular season, closing splits, graded against the closing spread. A third figure in a record counts pushes.
The 2026-27 season is only 1 game old for the Miami Heat, so this section reads 2025-26 until they reach 10. The table above has both seasons.
The Miami Heat sat in the middle of the NBA by bet share in 2025-26: #14 of 30, with 50.5% of spread tickets on average and the public side (60%+ of bets) in 21 of 80 games.
Against the spread they went 44-35-1, and 11-10 as the public side. Their share of the money (50.9%) tracked their share of the tickets closely, so big and small bettors saw them the same way.
None of this is a pick. Across the league over the last two seasons, the side with 60% or more of spread bets covered about half the time, not enough to beat the bookmaker's margin by backing it or fading it. See tonight's NBA splits →
NBA analytics tracks a short list of signals from two seasons of closing lines, graded live as the season goes, plus the betting habits worth knowing about. No picks until a signal earns it. For subscribers.
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| Date | Matchup | Result | Miami Heat bet % | Miami Heat money % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | Minnesota Timberwolves @ Miami Heat | Failed to cover 106-131 (-1.5) | 45.0% | 48.0% |
Not on the split alone. Across the league over the last two seasons, the side with 60% or more of spread bets covered 49% to 50% of the time, which is not enough to beat the bookmaker's margin from either side.
On the NBA page, which shows bets and money on the spread, moneyline and total for every game on tonight's slate, updated through the day until tip-off.
Each game counts once it is final, using the closing split: the last bet and money percentages before tip-off, from publicly reported sportsbook handle. Regular season only, graded against the closing spread.
The Miami Heat went 44-35-1 against the closing spread in 2025-26, regular season only. Pushes, when the margin lands exactly on the number, are the third figure where there were any.
In 2025-26 the Miami Heat drew 50.5% of spread bets and 50.9% of the money on average, across 80 regular-season games. That ranks #14 of 30 by bet share.
How we track public bets and money: see our methodology →
Last updated: October 22, 2026 at 9:40 PM UTC
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