82.0% of spread bets are on Tennessee-Martin +39.5 in Tennessee-Martin at West Virginia — a clear public lean on September 12, 2026.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Tennessee-Martin +39.5 | 82% | 76% | -110 |
| West Virginia -39.5 | 18% | 24% | -110 | |
| Total | Over 56.5 | 10% | 14% | -110 |
| Under 56.5 | 90% | 86% | -110 |
Tennessee-Martin at West Virginia is one of the slate's lopsided public plays. 82.0% of the bet count on the spread market is sitting on Tennessee-Martin +39.5 — which on a college board usually means a mismatch rather than a market disagreement — lopsided ticket counts are ordinary here, so the number itself says less than where the dollars land against it.
The money side tells a slightly different story: 76.0% of dollars on Tennessee-Martin +39.5 versus 82.0% of tickets. That's a small gap by itself, but in the context of a 82.0% public bet count, even a few points of money lag suggests the average bet on West Virginia -39.5 is materially larger. Books price these games knowing the public is coming — the line builds in the lean — which is why heavy public favorites historically underperform their implied win rate against the spread.
None of this is a pick. It's the snapshot of how money is landing on this game right now. See how we calculate splits →.
Our advanced model rates every NCAAF game by expected value, using thousands of historical splits as the backbone. This week's highest-EV picks are reserved for subscribers.
Want a free look? See this week's biggest splits →
Any licensed sportsbook in your state offers college football markets. We don't recommend specific books — please read our responsible gambling resources before wagering.
On college spreads the median gap is about 11 points and roughly a quarter of games clear 24, so the bar sits higher here than in a professional league. On totals the same number means considerably more — a 20-point totals gap is about three times rarer than the same gap on a spread.
The spread is the market college bettors actually shop. A large share of the schedule is priced at moneylines so lopsided that the split says nothing useful, so we lead with the spread and fall back only when a game carries no spread at all.
We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence and store every snapshot, so a game's splits can be read as a series rather than a single reading. This page shows the most recent snapshot before kickoff.
Less than you'd think. College boards run far more lopsided than professional ones because so many games pair a ranked team with an overmatched opponent. On the games we track, the median spread draws about 82% of tickets to one side, so a heavy count on its own is ordinary. The gap between bets and dollars is the part that carries information.
College boards run far more lopsided than the pros — a 90% ticket count is ordinary here, not remarkable, because so many games pair a ranked team with an overmatched opponent. What matters is whether the dollars agree with the tickets. When they don't, the ticket count is the less informative number. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: September 9, 2026 at 12:32 PM UTC
Every game on the slate, ranked by public-vs-money divergence. Splits-based top opportunities, updated continuously. No signup, no paywall.
See all of this week's splits →