Duke season-to-date: 5-2 ATS, 44.6% average bet share, 43.9% money share.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ATS record (tracked games) | 5-2 |
| Average bet % | 44.6% |
| Average money % | 43.9% |
| Games as public favorite (60%+ bets) | 2 |
| ATS record as public favorite | 2-0 |
| Fade-the-public record (vs them as public fav) | 0-2 |
Duke don't have a strong public-vs-money pattern this season. Across the 7 games we've tracked, the average bet percentage on Duke is 44.6% and the average money percentage is 43.9%. Those are middle-of-the-pack numbers — bettors are split, dollars follow the bet count, and the line generally reflects the matchup rather than the public lean.
With 7 games on the board, the data is starting to mean something — and what it means is that Duke aren't a high-conviction fade or follow play. There's no consistent edge in either direction.
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| Date | Matchup | Result | Duke bet % | Duke money % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | Duke @ Virginia | Covered 19-16 (+2.5) | 51.0% | 58.0% |
| 2026-10-17 | North Carolina @ Duke | Failed to cover 20-24 (-3) | 30.0% | 32.0% |
| 2026-10-10 | Duke @ Georgia Tech | Failed to cover 25-28 (-4.5) | 23.0% | 28.0% |
| 2026-09-26 | William & Mary @ Duke | Covered 62-7 (-43.5) | 42.0% | 46.0% |
| 2026-09-19 | Stanford @ Duke | Covered 35-7 (-10) | 63.0% | 71.0% |
0-2 ATS this season — the mirror of their public-favorite record, because the fade covers exactly when the public side doesn't. It's shown as a record rather than a recommendation; a handful of games is not a pattern.
From publicly reported sportsbook handle, captured on a sub-hourly cadence for every FBS game from the moment a line is posted. The team figures use each game's closing snapshot — the last read before kickoff — so every number reflects what a bettor could actually have known.
A game counts only when it has a final score, a closing spread and a published split. An FCS opponent the source never priced, or a game whose splits were not captured before kickoff, is left out rather than guessed at.
When 60% or more of spread tickets land on Duke, they're 2-0 ATS this season. Books shade college lines toward the side they know the public wants, and on a board full of mismatches that shade is often the whole story.
Duke are 5-2 against the spread in the games where we have a closing split. That's the number that matters for a bettor — a team can win every Saturday by three touchdowns and still lose money for the people laying four.
How we track public bets and money: see our methodology →
Last updated: October 30, 2026 at 5:47 AM UTC
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