Georgia Tech draw 60.4% of spread bets on average; fading them when they're public is 4-1 ATS this season.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ATS record (tracked games) | 1-6 |
| Average bet % | 60.4% |
| Average money % | 59.6% |
| Games as public favorite (60%+ bets) | 5 |
| ATS record as public favorite | 1-4 |
| Fade-the-public record (vs them as public fav) | 4-1 |
Georgia Tech have been one of the season's clearer fade targets. Across 7 games where we have publicly reported splits data, casual bettors have hammered them — averaging 60.4% of the bet count when Georgia Tech are on the board. The dollars haven't followed: the average money percentage on Georgia Tech sits at 59.6%, a meaningful divergence that says the average bet on the other side is materially larger.
When Georgia Tech are a public favorite (60%+ of bets on their side), they're 1-4 this season. The fade-the-public side — betting against Georgia Tech when the public is loading up — is 4-1 in those same games. That's not a guarantee, and it's not enough sample to call a rule, but it is the data pattern that lands a team on the "heavy fade target" list.
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| Date | Matchup | Result | Georgia Tech bet % | Georgia Tech money % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Boston College @ Georgia Tech | Failed to cover 27-49 (-6.5) | 61.0% | 64.0% |
| 2026-10-17 | Georgia Tech @ Virginia Tech | Failed to cover 24-34 (+8.5) | 70.0% | 75.0% |
| 2026-10-10 | Duke @ Georgia Tech | Covered 28-25 (+4.5) | 77.0% | 72.0% |
| 2026-09-26 | Georgia Tech @ Stanford | Failed to cover 27-34 (-3) | 74.0% | 51.0% |
| 2026-09-19 | Mercer @ Georgia Tech | Failed to cover 44-11 (-39.5) | 49.0% | 51.0% |
Georgia Tech are 1-6 against the spread in the games where we have a closing split. That's the number that matters for a bettor — a team can win every Saturday by three touchdowns and still lose money for the people laying four.
On the games we've tracked this season, Georgia Tech draw 60.4% of spread tickets on average. College boards run lopsided — the popular side of a typical game holds about 82% of tickets — so a school has to live well above that to count as a public team, and a brand-name program usually does.
4-1 ATS this season — the mirror of their public-favorite record, because the fade covers exactly when the public side doesn't. It's shown as a record rather than a recommendation; a handful of games is not a pattern.
From publicly reported sportsbook handle, captured on a sub-hourly cadence for every FBS game from the moment a line is posted. The team figures use each game's closing snapshot — the last read before kickoff — so every number reflects what a bettor could actually have known.
A game counts only when it has a final score, a closing spread and a published split. An FCS opponent the source never priced, or a game whose splits were not captured before kickoff, is left out rather than guessed at.
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Last updated: October 30, 2026 at 5:48 AM UTC
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