Houston season-to-date: 3-5 ATS, 46.0% average bet share, 44.1% money share.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ATS record (tracked games) | 3-5 |
| Average bet % | 46.0% |
| Average money % | 44.1% |
| Games as public favorite (60%+ bets) | 2 |
| ATS record as public favorite | 1-1 |
| Fade-the-public record (vs them as public fav) | 1-1 |
Houston don't have a strong public-vs-money pattern this season. Across the 8 games we've tracked, the average bet percentage on Houston is 46.0% and the average money percentage is 44.1%. Those are middle-of-the-pack numbers — bettors are split, dollars follow the bet count, and the line generally reflects the matchup rather than the public lean.
With 8 games on the board, the data is starting to mean something — and what it means is that Houston aren't a high-conviction fade or follow play. There's no consistent edge in either direction.
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| Date | Matchup | Result | Houston bet % | Houston money % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Houston @ Utah | Failed to cover 13-21 (+6.5) | 74.0% | 75.0% |
| 2026-10-17 | Oklahoma State @ Houston | Failed to cover 35-32 (-4) | 24.0% | 27.0% |
| 2026-10-10 | Houston @ Kansas State | Covered 35-16 (+2.5) | 72.0% | 63.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | UCF @ Houston | Failed to cover 27-17 (-10.5) | 53.0% | 41.0% |
| 2026-09-26 | Houston @ Georgia Southern | Failed to cover 42-28 (-17.5) | 56.0% | 37.0% |
1-1 ATS this season — the mirror of their public-favorite record, because the fade covers exactly when the public side doesn't. It's shown as a record rather than a recommendation; a handful of games is not a pattern.
On the games we've tracked this season, Houston draw 46.0% of spread tickets on average. College boards run lopsided — the popular side of a typical game holds about 82% of tickets — so a school has to live well above that to count as a public team, and a brand-name program usually does.
When 60% or more of spread tickets land on Houston, they're 1-1 ATS this season. Books shade college lines toward the side they know the public wants, and on a board full of mismatches that shade is often the whole story.
Houston are 3-5 against the spread in the games where we have a closing split. That's the number that matters for a bettor — a team can win every Saturday by three touchdowns and still lose money for the people laying four.
A game counts only when it has a final score, a closing spread and a published split. An FCS opponent the source never priced, or a game whose splits were not captured before kickoff, is left out rather than guessed at.
How we track public bets and money: see our methodology →
Last updated: October 30, 2026 at 5:48 AM UTC
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