Louisville season-to-date: 4-3 ATS, 41.9% average bet share, 45.3% money share.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ATS record (tracked games) | 4-3 |
| Average bet % | 41.9% |
| Average money % | 45.3% |
| Games as public favorite (60%+ bets) | 1 |
| ATS record as public favorite | 0-1 |
| Fade-the-public record (vs them as public fav) | 1-0 |
Louisville don't have a strong public-vs-money pattern this season. Across the 7 games we've tracked, the average bet percentage on Louisville is 41.9% and the average money percentage is 45.3%. Those are middle-of-the-pack numbers — bettors are split, dollars follow the bet count, and the line generally reflects the matchup rather than the public lean.
With 7 games on the board, the data is starting to mean something — and what it means is that Louisville aren't a high-conviction fade or follow play. There's no consistent edge in either direction.
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| Date | Matchup | Result | Louisville bet % | Louisville money % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Louisville @ Syracuse | Failed to cover 34-26 (-14.5) | 44.0% | 48.0% |
| 2026-10-09 | Florida State @ Louisville | Covered 44-20 (-4) | 39.0% | 54.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | Louisville @ NC State | Failed to cover 28-31 (-4.5) | 73.0% | 68.0% |
| 2026-09-26 | Wake Forest @ Louisville | Failed to cover 27-30 (-11.5) | 51.0% | 44.0% |
| 2026-09-19 | SMU @ Louisville | Covered 41-31 (-1.5) | 43.0% | 35.0% |
When 60% or more of spread tickets land on Louisville, they're 0-1 ATS this season. Books shade college lines toward the side they know the public wants, and on a board full of mismatches that shade is often the whole story.
1-0 ATS this season — the mirror of their public-favorite record, because the fade covers exactly when the public side doesn't. It's shown as a record rather than a recommendation; a handful of games is not a pattern.
From publicly reported sportsbook handle, captured on a sub-hourly cadence for every FBS game from the moment a line is posted. The team figures use each game's closing snapshot — the last read before kickoff — so every number reflects what a bettor could actually have known.
On the games we've tracked this season, Louisville draw 41.9% of spread tickets on average. College boards run lopsided — the popular side of a typical game holds about 82% of tickets — so a school has to live well above that to count as a public team, and a brand-name program usually does.
A game counts only when it has a final score, a closing spread and a published split. An FCS opponent the source never priced, or a game whose splits were not captured before kickoff, is left out rather than guessed at.
How we track public bets and money: see our methodology →
Last updated: October 30, 2026 at 2:13 PM UTC
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