Michigan season-to-date: 3-4 ATS, 32.4% average bet share, 34.0% money share.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ATS record (tracked games) | 3-4 |
| Average bet % | 32.4% |
| Average money % | 34.0% |
| Games as public favorite (60%+ bets) | 1 |
| ATS record as public favorite | 0-1 |
| Fade-the-public record (vs them as public fav) | 1-0 |
Michigan don't have a strong public-vs-money pattern this season. Across the 7 games we've tracked, the average bet percentage on Michigan is 32.4% and the average money percentage is 34.0%. Those are middle-of-the-pack numbers — bettors are split, dollars follow the bet count, and the line generally reflects the matchup rather than the public lean.
With 7 games on the board, the data is starting to mean something — and what it means is that Michigan aren't a high-conviction fade or follow play. There's no consistent edge in either direction.
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| Date | Matchup | Result | Michigan bet % | Michigan money % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Indiana @ Michigan | Covered 6-13 (+7.5) | 33.0% | 36.0% |
| 2026-10-17 | Penn State @ Michigan | Failed to cover 21-18 (-6) | 28.0% | 20.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | Michigan @ Minnesota | Failed to cover 14-20 (-6.5) | 62.0% | 66.0% |
| 2026-09-26 | Iowa @ Michigan | Failed to cover 19-20 (-5.5) | 38.0% | 32.0% |
| 2026-09-19 | UTEP @ Michigan | Covered 52-17 (-34.5) | 33.0% | 44.0% |
1-0 ATS this season — the mirror of their public-favorite record, because the fade covers exactly when the public side doesn't. It's shown as a record rather than a recommendation; a handful of games is not a pattern.
When 60% or more of spread tickets land on Michigan, they're 0-1 ATS this season. Books shade college lines toward the side they know the public wants, and on a board full of mismatches that shade is often the whole story.
A game counts only when it has a final score, a closing spread and a published split. An FCS opponent the source never priced, or a game whose splits were not captured before kickoff, is left out rather than guessed at.
Michigan are 3-4 against the spread in the games where we have a closing split. That's the number that matters for a bettor — a team can win every Saturday by three touchdowns and still lose money for the people laying four.
From publicly reported sportsbook handle, captured on a sub-hourly cadence for every FBS game from the moment a line is posted. The team figures use each game's closing snapshot — the last read before kickoff — so every number reflects what a bettor could actually have known.
How we track public bets and money: see our methodology →
Last updated: October 30, 2026 at 5:48 AM UTC
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