Mississippi State season-to-date: 2-0 ATS, 40.0% average bet share, 50.5% money share.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ATS record (tracked games) | 2-0 |
| Average bet % | 40.0% |
| Average money % | 50.5% |
| Games as public favorite (60%+ bets) | 1 |
| ATS record as public favorite | 1-0 |
| Fade-the-public record (vs them as public fav) | 0-1 |
Mississippi State don't have a strong public-vs-money pattern this season. Across the 2 games we've tracked, the average bet percentage on Mississippi State is 40.0% and the average money percentage is 50.5%. Those are middle-of-the-pack numbers — bettors are split, dollars follow the bet count, and the line generally reflects the matchup rather than the public lean.
Sample size is a real consideration: 2 games is not enough to call a season-long pattern. The "heavy fade target" or "heavy public favorite" labels we apply to other teams require at least 5 games of data and a meaningful directional lean — neither applies here yet.
Watch the per-game splits below. Even balanced teams have individual games with meaningful divergence — that's where the daily roundups come in. See our methodology →.
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| Date | Matchup | Result | Mississippi State bet % | Mississippi State money % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Mississippi State @ Minnesota | Covered 38-13 (-1.5) | 76.0% | 81.0% |
| 2026-09-05 | Louisiana-Monroe @ Mississippi State | Covered 62-13 (-28.5) | 4.0% | 20.0% |
A game counts only when it has a final score, a closing spread and a published split. An FCS opponent the source never priced, or a game whose splits were not captured before kickoff, is left out rather than guessed at.
When 60% or more of spread tickets land on Mississippi State, they're 1-0 ATS this season. Books shade college lines toward the side they know the public wants, and on a board full of mismatches that shade is often the whole story.
Mississippi State are 2-0 against the spread in the games where we have a closing split. That's the number that matters for a bettor — a team can win every Saturday by three touchdowns and still lose money for the people laying four.
0-1 ATS this season — the mirror of their public-favorite record, because the fade covers exactly when the public side doesn't. It's shown as a record rather than a recommendation; a handful of games is not a pattern.
From publicly reported sportsbook handle, captured on a sub-hourly cadence for every FBS game from the moment a line is posted. The team figures use each game's closing snapshot — the last read before kickoff — so every number reflects what a bettor could actually have known.
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: September 15, 2026 at 2:56 AM UTC
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