Missouri season-to-date: 3-4 ATS, 42.9% average bet share, 45.3% money share.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ATS record (tracked games) | 3-4 |
| Average bet % | 42.9% |
| Average money % | 45.3% |
| Games as public favorite (60%+ bets) | 2 |
| ATS record as public favorite | 2-0 |
| Fade-the-public record (vs them as public fav) | 0-2 |
Missouri don't have a strong public-vs-money pattern this season. Across the 7 games we've tracked, the average bet percentage on Missouri is 42.9% and the average money percentage is 45.3%. Those are middle-of-the-pack numbers — bettors are split, dollars follow the bet count, and the line generally reflects the matchup rather than the public lean.
With 7 games on the board, the data is starting to mean something — and what it means is that Missouri aren't a high-conviction fade or follow play. There's no consistent edge in either direction.
Watch the per-game splits below. Even balanced teams have individual games with meaningful divergence — that's where the daily roundups come in. See our methodology →.
Our advanced model rates every NCAAF game by expected value, using thousands of historical splits as the backbone. This week's highest-EV picks are reserved for subscribers.
Want a free look? See this week's biggest splits →
| Date | Matchup | Result | Missouri bet % | Missouri money % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Missouri @ Ole Miss | Failed to cover 3-31 (+4) | 52.0% | 40.0% |
| 2026-10-10 | Texas A&M @ Missouri | Covered 27-6 (-4) | 61.0% | 57.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | Florida @ Missouri | Covered 45-17 (+5.5) | 24.0% | 28.0% |
| 2026-09-26 | Missouri @ Mississippi State | Failed to cover 24-31 (+3.5) | 43.0% | 42.0% |
| 2026-09-19 | Troy @ Missouri | Failed to cover 27-17 (-27.5) | 22.0% | 27.0% |
0-2 ATS this season — the mirror of their public-favorite record, because the fade covers exactly when the public side doesn't. It's shown as a record rather than a recommendation; a handful of games is not a pattern.
Missouri are 3-4 against the spread in the games where we have a closing split. That's the number that matters for a bettor — a team can win every Saturday by three touchdowns and still lose money for the people laying four.
On the games we've tracked this season, Missouri draw 42.9% of spread tickets on average. College boards run lopsided — the popular side of a typical game holds about 82% of tickets — so a school has to live well above that to count as a public team, and a brand-name program usually does.
From publicly reported sportsbook handle, captured on a sub-hourly cadence for every FBS game from the moment a line is posted. The team figures use each game's closing snapshot — the last read before kickoff — so every number reflects what a bettor could actually have known.
When 60% or more of spread tickets land on Missouri, they're 2-0 ATS this season. Books shade college lines toward the side they know the public wants, and on a board full of mismatches that shade is often the whole story.
How we track public bets and money: see our methodology →
Last updated: October 30, 2026 at 2:08 PM UTC
Every game on the slate, ranked by public-vs-money divergence. Splits-based top opportunities, updated continuously. No signup, no paywall.
See all of this week's splits →