NC State season-to-date: 2-5 ATS, 42.0% average bet share, 45.3% money share.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ATS record (tracked games) | 2-5 |
| Average bet % | 42.0% |
| Average money % | 45.3% |
| Games as public favorite (60%+ bets) | 2 |
| ATS record as public favorite | 0-2 |
| Fade-the-public record (vs them as public fav) | 2-0 |
NC State don't have a strong public-vs-money pattern this season. Across the 7 games we've tracked, the average bet percentage on NC State is 42.0% and the average money percentage is 45.3%. Those are middle-of-the-pack numbers — bettors are split, dollars follow the bet count, and the line generally reflects the matchup rather than the public lean.
With 7 games on the board, the data is starting to mean something — and what it means is that NC State aren't a high-conviction fade or follow play. There's no consistent edge in either direction.
Watch the per-game splits below. Even balanced teams have individual games with meaningful divergence — that's where the daily roundups come in. See our methodology →.
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| Date | Matchup | Result | NC State bet % | NC State money % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | NC State @ Stanford | Failed to cover 28-31 (-7.5) | 64.0% | 54.0% |
| 2026-10-10 | Wake Forest @ NC State | Failed to cover 14-38 (+3.5) | 40.0% | 42.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | Louisville @ NC State | Covered 31-28 (+4.5) | 27.0% | 32.0% |
| 2026-09-26 | Appalachian State @ NC State | Failed to cover 41-31 (-12.5) | 35.0% | 26.0% |
| 2026-09-19 | NC State @ Vanderbilt | Failed to cover 31-35 (+3) | 39.0% | 53.0% |
From publicly reported sportsbook handle, captured on a sub-hourly cadence for every FBS game from the moment a line is posted. The team figures use each game's closing snapshot — the last read before kickoff — so every number reflects what a bettor could actually have known.
NC State are 2-5 against the spread in the games where we have a closing split. That's the number that matters for a bettor — a team can win every Saturday by three touchdowns and still lose money for the people laying four.
When 60% or more of spread tickets land on NC State, they're 0-2 ATS this season. Books shade college lines toward the side they know the public wants, and on a board full of mismatches that shade is often the whole story.
A game counts only when it has a final score, a closing spread and a published split. An FCS opponent the source never priced, or a game whose splits were not captured before kickoff, is left out rather than guessed at.
2-0 ATS this season — the mirror of their public-favorite record, because the fade covers exactly when the public side doesn't. It's shown as a record rather than a recommendation; a handful of games is not a pattern.
How we track public bets and money: see our methodology →
Last updated: October 30, 2026 at 5:47 AM UTC
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