North Carolina season-to-date: 4-3 ATS, 47.4% average bet share, 57.0% money share.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ATS record (tracked games) | 4-3 |
| Average bet % | 47.4% |
| Average money % | 57.0% |
| Games as public favorite (60%+ bets) | 1 |
| ATS record as public favorite | 1-0 |
| Fade-the-public record (vs them as public fav) | 0-1 |
North Carolina don't have a strong public-vs-money pattern this season. Across the 7 games we've tracked, the average bet percentage on North Carolina is 47.4% and the average money percentage is 57.0%. Those are middle-of-the-pack numbers — bettors are split, dollars follow the bet count, and the line generally reflects the matchup rather than the public lean.
With 7 games on the board, the data is starting to mean something — and what it means is that North Carolina aren't a high-conviction fade or follow play. There's no consistent edge in either direction.
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| Date | Matchup | Result | North Carolina bet % | North Carolina money % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Syracuse @ North Carolina | Failed to cover 30-31 (-9.5) | 56.0% | 41.0% |
| 2026-10-17 | North Carolina @ Duke | Covered 24-20 (+3) | 70.0% | 68.0% |
| 2026-10-10 | North Carolina @ Pittsburgh | Covered 21-17 (+3.5) | 45.0% | 59.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | Notre Dame @ North Carolina | Covered 26-37 (+21) | 48.0% | 51.0% |
| 2026-09-19 | North Carolina @ Clemson | Failed to cover 20-28 (+3) | 52.0% | 62.0% |
0-1 ATS this season — the mirror of their public-favorite record, because the fade covers exactly when the public side doesn't. It's shown as a record rather than a recommendation; a handful of games is not a pattern.
A game counts only when it has a final score, a closing spread and a published split. An FCS opponent the source never priced, or a game whose splits were not captured before kickoff, is left out rather than guessed at.
North Carolina are 4-3 against the spread in the games where we have a closing split. That's the number that matters for a bettor — a team can win every Saturday by three touchdowns and still lose money for the people laying four.
From publicly reported sportsbook handle, captured on a sub-hourly cadence for every FBS game from the moment a line is posted. The team figures use each game's closing snapshot — the last read before kickoff — so every number reflects what a bettor could actually have known.
On the games we've tracked this season, North Carolina draw 47.4% of spread tickets on average. College boards run lopsided — the popular side of a typical game holds about 82% of tickets — so a school has to live well above that to count as a public team, and a brand-name program usually does.
How we track public bets and money: see our methodology →
Last updated: October 30, 2026 at 6:50 AM UTC
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