Northwestern season-to-date: 5-2 ATS, 39.9% average bet share, 34.3% money share.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ATS record (tracked games) | 5-2 |
| Average bet % | 39.9% |
| Average money % | 34.3% |
| Games as public favorite (60%+ bets) | 1 |
| ATS record as public favorite | 0-1 |
| Fade-the-public record (vs them as public fav) | 1-0 |
Northwestern don't have a strong public-vs-money pattern this season. Across the 7 games we've tracked, the average bet percentage on Northwestern is 39.9% and the average money percentage is 34.3%. Those are middle-of-the-pack numbers — bettors are split, dollars follow the bet count, and the line generally reflects the matchup rather than the public lean.
With 7 games on the board, the data is starting to mean something — and what it means is that Northwestern aren't a high-conviction fade or follow play. There's no consistent edge in either direction.
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| Date | Matchup | Result | Northwestern bet % | Northwestern money % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Rutgers @ Northwestern | Covered 42-14 (-14.5) | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| 2026-10-17 | Northwestern @ Michigan State | Failed to cover 24-21 (-7) | 71.0% | 68.0% |
| 2026-10-10 | Ball State @ Northwestern | Failed to cover 45-14 (-35.5) | 13.0% | 17.0% |
| 2026-10-02 | Penn State @ Northwestern | Covered 34-13 (+2.5) | 37.0% | 28.0% |
| 2026-09-25 | Northwestern @ Indiana | Covered 23-29 (+20.5) | 36.0% | 37.0% |
When 60% or more of spread tickets land on Northwestern, they're 0-1 ATS this season. Books shade college lines toward the side they know the public wants, and on a board full of mismatches that shade is often the whole story.
On the games we've tracked this season, Northwestern draw 39.9% of spread tickets on average. College boards run lopsided — the popular side of a typical game holds about 82% of tickets — so a school has to live well above that to count as a public team, and a brand-name program usually does.
Northwestern are 5-2 against the spread in the games where we have a closing split. That's the number that matters for a bettor — a team can win every Saturday by three touchdowns and still lose money for the people laying four.
1-0 ATS this season — the mirror of their public-favorite record, because the fade covers exactly when the public side doesn't. It's shown as a record rather than a recommendation; a handful of games is not a pattern.
From publicly reported sportsbook handle, captured on a sub-hourly cadence for every FBS game from the moment a line is posted. The team figures use each game's closing snapshot — the last read before kickoff — so every number reflects what a bettor could actually have known.
How we track public bets and money: see our methodology →
Last updated: October 30, 2026 at 5:48 AM UTC
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