Notre Dame season-to-date: 4-3 ATS, 41.3% average bet share, 47.7% money share.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ATS record (tracked games) | 4-3 |
| Average bet % | 41.3% |
| Average money % | 47.7% |
| Games as public favorite (60%+ bets) | 1 |
| ATS record as public favorite | 1-0 |
| Fade-the-public record (vs them as public fav) | 0-1 |
Notre Dame don't have a strong public-vs-money pattern this season. Across the 7 games we've tracked, the average bet percentage on Notre Dame is 41.3% and the average money percentage is 47.7%. Those are middle-of-the-pack numbers — bettors are split, dollars follow the bet count, and the line generally reflects the matchup rather than the public lean.
With 7 games on the board, the data is starting to mean something — and what it means is that Notre Dame aren't a high-conviction fade or follow play. There's no consistent edge in either direction.
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| Date | Matchup | Result | Notre Dame bet % | Notre Dame money % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Notre Dame @ BYU | Failed to cover 24-28 (-10.5) | 38.0% | 44.0% |
| 2026-10-10 | Stanford @ Notre Dame | Covered 58-7 (-39.5) | 14.0% | 14.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | Notre Dame @ North Carolina | Failed to cover 37-26 (-21) | 52.0% | 49.0% |
| 2026-09-26 | Notre Dame @ Purdue | Covered 49-10 (-27.5) | 49.0% | 48.0% |
| 2026-09-19 | Michigan State @ Notre Dame | Failed to cover 27-10 (-29.5) | 52.0% | 49.0% |
0-1 ATS this season — the mirror of their public-favorite record, because the fade covers exactly when the public side doesn't. It's shown as a record rather than a recommendation; a handful of games is not a pattern.
On the games we've tracked this season, Notre Dame draw 41.3% of spread tickets on average. College boards run lopsided — the popular side of a typical game holds about 82% of tickets — so a school has to live well above that to count as a public team, and a brand-name program usually does.
When 60% or more of spread tickets land on Notre Dame, they're 1-0 ATS this season. Books shade college lines toward the side they know the public wants, and on a board full of mismatches that shade is often the whole story.
A game counts only when it has a final score, a closing spread and a published split. An FCS opponent the source never priced, or a game whose splits were not captured before kickoff, is left out rather than guessed at.
From publicly reported sportsbook handle, captured on a sub-hourly cadence for every FBS game from the moment a line is posted. The team figures use each game's closing snapshot — the last read before kickoff — so every number reflects what a bettor could actually have known.
How we track public bets and money: see our methodology →
Last updated: October 30, 2026 at 5:49 AM UTC
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