Penn State season-to-date: 3-4 ATS, 46.7% average bet share, 60.3% money share.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ATS record (tracked games) | 3-4 |
| Average bet % | 46.7% |
| Average money % | 60.3% |
| Games as public favorite (60%+ bets) | 2 |
| ATS record as public favorite | 1-1 |
| Fade-the-public record (vs them as public fav) | 1-1 |
Penn State don't have a strong public-vs-money pattern this season. Across the 7 games we've tracked, the average bet percentage on Penn State is 46.7% and the average money percentage is 60.3%. Those are middle-of-the-pack numbers — bettors are split, dollars follow the bet count, and the line generally reflects the matchup rather than the public lean.
With 7 games on the board, the data is starting to mean something — and what it means is that Penn State aren't a high-conviction fade or follow play. There's no consistent edge in either direction.
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| Date | Matchup | Result | Penn State bet % | Penn State money % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Penn State @ Michigan | Covered 18-21 (+6) | 72.0% | 80.0% |
| 2026-10-10 | USC @ Penn State | Failed to cover 23-31 (+1.5) | 29.0% | 73.0% |
| 2026-10-02 | Penn State @ Northwestern | Failed to cover 13-34 (-2.5) | 63.0% | 72.0% |
| 2026-09-26 | Wisconsin @ Penn State | Failed to cover 20-24 (-10) | 58.0% | 39.0% |
| 2026-09-19 | Buffalo @ Penn State | Covered 55-13 (-40.5) | 29.0% | 41.0% |
On the games we've tracked this season, Penn State draw 46.7% of spread tickets on average. College boards run lopsided — the popular side of a typical game holds about 82% of tickets — so a school has to live well above that to count as a public team, and a brand-name program usually does.
1-1 ATS this season — the mirror of their public-favorite record, because the fade covers exactly when the public side doesn't. It's shown as a record rather than a recommendation; a handful of games is not a pattern.
Penn State are 3-4 against the spread in the games where we have a closing split. That's the number that matters for a bettor — a team can win every Saturday by three touchdowns and still lose money for the people laying four.
From publicly reported sportsbook handle, captured on a sub-hourly cadence for every FBS game from the moment a line is posted. The team figures use each game's closing snapshot — the last read before kickoff — so every number reflects what a bettor could actually have known.
A game counts only when it has a final score, a closing spread and a published split. An FCS opponent the source never priced, or a game whose splits were not captured before kickoff, is left out rather than guessed at.
How we track public bets and money: see our methodology →
Last updated: October 30, 2026 at 5:48 AM UTC
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