The Dallas Cowboys draw 58.4% of spread bets on average; fading them when they're public is 2-1 ATS this season.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ATS record (tracked games) | 3-3-1 |
| Average bet % | 58.4% |
| Average money % | 59.9% |
| Games as public favorite (60%+ bets) | 3 |
| ATS record as public favorite | 1-2 |
| Fade-the-public record (vs them as public fav) | 2-1 |
The Dallas Cowboys have been one of the season's clearer fade targets. Across 7 games where we have publicly reported splits data, casual bettors have hammered them — averaging 58.4% of the bet count when Dallas Cowboys are on the board. The dollars haven't followed: the average money percentage on Dallas Cowboys sits at 59.9%, a meaningful divergence that says the average bet on the other side is materially larger.
When Dallas Cowboys are a public favorite (60%+ of bets on their side), they're 1-2 this season. The fade-the-public side — betting against Dallas Cowboys when the public is loading up — is 2-1 in those same games. That's not a guarantee, and it's not enough sample to call a rule, but it is the data pattern that lands a team on the "heavy fade target" list.
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| Date | Matchup | Result | Dallas Cowboys bet % | Dallas Cowboys money % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles | Covered 38-21 (-4.5) | 43.0% | 69.0% |
| 2026-10-18 | Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers | Failed to cover 13-23 (-1.5) | 60.0% | 60.0% |
| 2026-10-08 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys | Failed to cover 16-24 (-8.5) | 75.0% | 72.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | Dallas Cowboys @ Houston Texans | Covered 34-30 (+3) | 83.0% | 83.0% |
| 2026-09-27 | Baltimore Ravens @ Dallas Cowboys | Push 31-34 (+3) | 47.0% | 33.0% |
On the games we've tracked this season, the Dallas Cowboys draw 58.4% of spread tickets on average. Around 63% is typical for the more popular side of an NFL game, so a team living above 65% is one the crowd keeps coming back to — usually on name recognition, recent results or primetime exposure.
The Dallas Cowboys are 3-3-1 against the spread in the games where we have a closing split. That's the number that matters for a bettor — a team can win outright every week and still lose money for the people backing it at the number.
When 60% or more of spread tickets land on the Dallas Cowboys, they're 1-2 ATS this season. Books shade lines toward the side they know the public wants, so heavily backed teams as a group have historically covered a little under half the time — which is why this number gets its own row.
From publicly reported sportsbook handle, captured on a sub-hourly cadence for every NFL game from the moment a line is posted. The team figures on this page use each game's closing snapshot — the last read before kickoff — so every number reflects what a bettor could actually have known.
A game counts only when it has a final score, a closing spread and a published split. Early in the season that is every game; a game the source never listed, or one whose splits were not captured before kickoff, is left out rather than guessed at.
How we track public bets and money: see our methodology →
Last updated: October 30, 2026 at 5:51 AM UTC
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