The Los Angeles Rams draw 50.6% of spread bets on average; fading them when they're public is 3-0 ATS this season.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ATS record (tracked games) | 3-4 |
| Average bet % | 50.6% |
| Average money % | 42.9% |
| Games as public favorite (60%+ bets) | 3 |
| ATS record as public favorite | 0-3 |
| Fade-the-public record (vs them as public fav) | 3-0 |
The Los Angeles Rams have been one of the season's clearer fade targets. Across 7 games where we have publicly reported splits data, casual bettors have hammered them — averaging 50.6% of the bet count when Los Angeles Rams are on the board. The dollars haven't followed: the average money percentage on Los Angeles Rams sits at 42.9%, a meaningful divergence that says the average bet on the other side is materially larger.
When Los Angeles Rams are a public favorite (60%+ of bets on their side), they're 0-3 this season. The fade-the-public side — betting against Los Angeles Rams when the public is loading up — is 3-0 in those same games. That's not a guarantee, and it's not enough sample to call a rule, but it is the data pattern that lands a team on the "heavy fade target" list.
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| Date | Matchup | Result | Los Angeles Rams bet % | Los Angeles Rams money % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | Los Angeles Rams @ Las Vegas Raiders | Covered 35-21 (-3.5) | 38.0% | 47.0% |
| 2026-10-18 | Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams | Failed to cover 16-18 (-12.5) | 76.0% | 76.0% |
| 2026-10-12 | Buffalo Bills @ Los Angeles Rams | Failed to cover 34-37 (-3.5) | 23.0% | 25.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles | Covered 24-20 (-3.5) | 52.0% | 38.0% |
| 2026-09-27 | Los Angeles Rams @ Denver Broncos | Failed to cover 26-30 (-1.5) | 60.0% | 36.0% |
On the games we've tracked this season, the Los Angeles Rams draw 50.6% of spread tickets on average. Around 63% is typical for the more popular side of an NFL game, so a team living above 65% is one the crowd keeps coming back to — usually on name recognition, recent results or primetime exposure.
The Los Angeles Rams are 3-4 against the spread in the games where we have a closing split. That's the number that matters for a bettor — a team can win outright every week and still lose money for the people backing it at the number.
3-0 ATS this season — the mirror of their public-favorite record, because the fade covers exactly when the public side doesn't. We show it as a record rather than a recommendation; a handful of games is not a pattern, and the line already builds in some of the public lean.
When 60% or more of spread tickets land on the Los Angeles Rams, they're 0-3 ATS this season. Books shade lines toward the side they know the public wants, so heavily backed teams as a group have historically covered a little under half the time — which is why this number gets its own row.
A game counts only when it has a final score, a closing spread and a published split. Early in the season that is every game; a game the source never listed, or one whose splits were not captured before kickoff, is left out rather than guessed at.
How we track public bets and money: see our methodology →
Last updated: October 30, 2026 at 10:03 AM UTC
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