The money is even more one-sided than the tickets in Stars at Capitals: the Washington Capitals have 58% of moneyline bets and 95% of the dollars.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Dallas Stars | 42% | 5% | -110 |
| Washington Capitals | 58% | 95% | -110 |
The dollars are even more one-sided than the tickets on Dallas Stars at Washington Capitals. The Washington Capitals have 58% of the moneyline bets and 95% of the money, so the bigger bets are on the same side as the crowd, only more so.
That's a 37-point gap in the other direction from the usual one. There's no disagreement to read here: large and small bettors want the same team, and the price already reflects it.
None of this is a pick. It's how bets and money are landing on this game right now. See every NHL game tonight →
NHL analytics tracks a short list of signals graded over two seasons of closing lines, and flags a game only when tonight's price still leaves value. For subscribers.
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At the latest snapshot, the Washington Capitals have 58% of the moneyline bets and 95% of the money. The table above has both teams on the moneyline, puck line and total.
Bet percentage counts tickets: every wager counts once. Money percentage counts dollars, so one $1,000 bet outweighs a hundred $10 ones. Reading the two together shows whether the bigger bettors agree with the crowd.
No. They reflect publicly reported sportsbook handle, aggregated, rather than a single book's customers. Individual books can differ, especially early in the day when few bets are in.
The Washington Capitals have 95% of the moneyline dollars against 58% of the tickets, a 37-point difference. A gap that size means the larger bets are not landing in the same proportions as the ticket count.
Not on the split alone. Across the last two NHL seasons, backing the side with more money than tickets and fading heavily bet public sides both lost at closing prices, about the size of the bookmaker's margin. Splits are context for your own read, not a pick.
Every ticket counts once in the bet percentage, but in the money percentage a $1,000 bet counts a hundred times more than a $10 one. When the two disagree, the bigger bets are landing somewhere other than the crowd. In the NHL that is common: last season the typical closing moneyline gap was about 11 points, and one game in four cleared 22. On its own, following the money has not beaten NHL prices. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money: see our methodology →
Last updated: November 3, 2026 at 5:09 AM UTC
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