The Toronto Maple Leafs drew 43.7% of moneyline bets on average in 2025-26, #22 of 32, and went 13-15 as the public side.
| 2026-27 | 2025-26 | |
|---|---|---|
| Games tracked | 3 | 78 |
| Moneyline record | 2-1 | 28-50 |
| Average share of moneyline bets | 77% | 43.7% |
| Average share of moneyline money | 93.3% | 52.7% |
| Rank by bet share | #6 of 32 | #22 of 32 |
| Games as the public side (60%+ of bets) | 3 | 28 |
| Record as the public side | 2-1 | 13-15 |
Regular season, closing splits. Moneyline records count overtime and shootout losses as losses.
The 2026-27 season is only 3 games old for the Toronto Maple Leafs, so this section reads 2025-26 until they reach 10. The table above has both seasons.
The Toronto Maple Leafs sat in the middle of the NHL by bet share in 2025-26: #22 of 32, with 43.7% of moneyline tickets on average and the public side (60%+ of bets) in 28 of 78 games.
Their share of the money ran 9 points above their share of the tickets (52.7%): the bigger bets liked them even more than the crowd did. As the public side they went 13-15, a record that mostly reflects how often they were favored.
None of this is a pick. Across the league, neither backing nor fading the public side on its own has beaten NHL prices over the last two seasons. See tonight's NHL splits →
NHL analytics tracks a short list of signals graded over two seasons of closing lines, and flags a game only when tonight's price still leaves value. For subscribers.
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| Date | Matchup | Result | Toronto Maple Leafs bet % | Toronto Maple Leafs money % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Nashville Predators @ Toronto Maple Leafs | W 5-4 | 92.0% | 88.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | Ottawa Senators @ Toronto Maple Leafs | L 2-3 | 65.0% | 94.0% |
| 2026-09-30 | New York Islanders @ Toronto Maple Leafs | W 2-1 | 74.0% | 98.0% |
In 2025-26 the Toronto Maple Leafs drew 43.7% of moneyline bets and 52.7% of the money on average, across 78 regular-season games. That ranks #22 of 32 by bet share.
In 2025-26 the Toronto Maple Leafs drew 60% or more of moneyline bets in 28 games and went 13-15 in them. Moneyline results count overtime and shootout losses as losses.
Not on the split alone. Across the league over the last two seasons, betting against heavily backed NHL sides on the moneyline lost about the bookmaker's margin. A team's record as the public side mostly reflects how often it was favored.
Each game counts once it is final, using the closing split: the last bet and money percentages before puck drop, from publicly reported sportsbook handle. Regular season only, so the record lines up with the standings.
On the NHL page, which shows bets and money on the moneyline, puck line and total for every game on tonight's slate, updated through the day until puck drop.
How we track public bets and money: see our methodology →
Last updated: October 8, 2026 at 3:55 PM UTC
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