Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Betting Splits — September 25, 2026

94% of bets are on Over 6.5 in Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees — heavy public lean on a September 25, 2026 matchup.

Splits at the latest snapshot

Market Side Bet % Money % Odds
Moneyline Baltimore Orioles 15% 18% +118
New York Yankees 85% 82% -124
Run line Baltimore Orioles +1.5 38% 35% -200
New York Yankees -1.5 62% 65% +184
Total Over 6.5 94% 94% -115
Under 6.5 6% 6% +106

What the data says

Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees is one of the slate's lopsided public plays. 94% of the bet count on the totals market is sitting on Over 6.5 — the kind of one-way lean that usually shows up on a name-brand team in a high-profile primetime slot, not a coin-flip matchup.

The money side isn't arguing: 94% of dollars on Over 6.5 against 94% of tickets, so the bigger bets are leaning the same way as the crowd, if only slightly. That leaves no contrarian signal to read here — just a heavily backed side whose price already reflects it. Books price these games knowing the public is coming — the line builds in the lean — which is why heavy public favorites historically underperform their implied win rate against the spread.

None of this is a pick. It's the snapshot of how money is landing on this game right now. See how we calculate splits →.

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Where this game ranks today

Slate rank
#4 of tonight's biggest splits — see the full ranking

Related

Frequently asked questions

How does Fade the Public Analytics calculate splits?

We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.

What is a good bet% gap to look for?

Look for 15+ point gaps where the money is on the unpopular side. Those are the games where the average bet size is doing the talking.

What is the difference between bet% and money%?

Bet% is the share of tickets wagered on a side. Money% is the share of dollars. They diverge when one side draws bigger bets per ticket than the other.

Should I bet on Over 6.5 tonight?

We don't issue picks. The splits show what the public and the money are doing — use them to inform your own read of the game.

Are these picks or just data?

These are data displays. We don't issue picks. Use the splits to inform your own bets — and bet responsibly.

What does a heavy public lean mean?

When 70%+ of bets land on one side, the line builds in some of that lean — so the public favorite is rarely a value bet, even when it's the better team. Watch where the money lands relative to the bet count. See our methodology →

How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →

Last updated: September 25, 2026 at 4:02 PM UTC

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