Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees Betting Splits — July 4, 2026

Modest split in Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees — Minnesota Twins +1.5 draws 21% of bets, 8% of money.

Splits at the latest snapshot

Market Side Bet % Money % Odds
Moneyline Minnesota Twins 17% 15% +200
New York Yankees 83% 85% -230
Run line Minnesota Twins +1.5 21% 8% -105
New York Yankees -1.5 79% 92% -108
Total Over 10 84% 79% -115
Under 10 16% 21% -116

What the data says

Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees has a modest split worth noting on the spread market. 21% of bets are on Minnesota Twins +1.5, with 8% of dollars on the same side — a 13-point gap. It's a small edge, not a top opportunity, but it's a directional signal in the same direction as a real sharp-money tell.

Splits in the 10 to 15-point range are common — most games on most nights land in this band. It's not nothing, and it's not enough on its own to override the price. The money side here is New York Yankees -1.5 if the gap matters. The public side is the one the line is built around. Most professional bettors don't act on a split this size in isolation; they use it as one input among several.

It didn't make tonight's top opportunities for that reason. See how we rank the slate →.

Tonight's strongest MLB plays — locked.

Our advanced model rates every MLB game by expected value, using thousands of historical splits as the backbone. Tonight's highest-EV picks are reserved for subscribers.

Advanced Pick #1 — +EV — ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ · ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ Moneyline
Advanced Pick #2 — +EV — ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ · ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ Run Line
Advanced Pick #3 — +EV — ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ · ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ Total
Unlock advanced EV picks →

Want a free look? See tonight's biggest splits →

Related

Frequently asked questions

What does it mean when Minnesota Twins +1.5 has 21% of bets but 8% of money?

When the bet count and the dollars don't agree, the dollars usually carry the sharper signal. A {gap}pp gap means the average bet on Minnesota Twins +1.5 is smaller than the average bet on the other side.

What is a good bet% gap to look for?

Look for 15+ point gaps where the money is on the unpopular side. Those are the games where the average bet size is doing the talking.

How does Fade the Public Analytics calculate splits?

We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.

What is the difference between bet% and money%?

Bet% is the share of tickets wagered on a side. Money% is the share of dollars. They diverge when one side draws bigger bets per ticket than the other.

What is sharp money?

Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side. See our learn page for more.

What's a meaningful bet/money split?

A 10-point gap between the share of bets and the share of dollars on a side is the threshold we treat as meaningful. 15+ points usually means the average bet on the money side is materially larger — that's where sharp money lives. See our methodology →

How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →

Last updated: July 4, 2026 at 5:29 AM UTC

See tonight's biggest MLB splits — free.

Every game on the slate, ranked by public-vs-money divergence. Splits-based top opportunities, updated continuously. No signup, no paywall.

See all of tonight's splits →

Or unlock our advanced EV picks →