Mavericks at Heat: the Dallas Mavericks draw 68% of spread bets and 73% of the money, a 5-point gap.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Dallas Mavericks +7.5 | 68% | 73% | -110 |
| Miami Heat -7.5 | 32% | 27% | -110 | |
| Total | Over 236 | 74% | 74% | -109 |
| Under 236 | 26% | 26% | -113 | |
| Moneyline | Dallas Mavericks | 13% | 2% | +240 |
| Miami Heat | 87% | 98% | -320 |
On Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat, the Dallas Mavericks (+7.5) draw 68% of the spread bets and 73% of the money. The money runs 5 points ahead of the tickets, so the larger bets lean the same way as the crowd.
A gap of 5 points is a little wider than the typical NBA spread, which closes about 4 points apart. It's worth a glance, not a conclusion.
On the total, 74% of bets and 74% of the money are on the Over 236. That's the normal pattern in the NBA: over the last two seasons, 60% or more of total bets landed on the over in about 96% of games.
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Bet percentage counts tickets: every wager counts once. Money percentage counts dollars, so one $1,000 bet outweighs a hundred $10 ones. Reading the two together shows whether the bigger bettors agree with the crowd.
At the latest snapshot, the Dallas Mavericks have 68% of the spread bets and 73% of the money. The table above has both sides of the spread, the total and the moneyline.
No. They reflect publicly reported sportsbook handle, aggregated, rather than a single book's customers. Individual books can differ, especially early in the day when few bets are in.
The Dallas Mavericks have 73% of the spread dollars against 68% of the tickets, a 5-point difference. A gap that size means the larger bets are not landing in the same proportions as the ticket count.
The favorite gives points and the underdog gets them. A favorite at -6.5 has to win by 7 or more to cover; the underdog at +6.5 covers with a win or a loss by 6 or fewer. Unlike hockey's fixed puck line, the number itself moves with the betting.
Every ticket counts once in the bet percentage, but in the money percentage a $1,000 bet counts a hundred times more than a $10 one. When the two disagree, the bigger bets are landing somewhere other than the crowd. On NBA spreads the two usually sit close: last season the typical closing gap was about 4 points, and only about one game in eight reached 10. On its own, following the money has not reliably beaten NBA prices. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money: see our methodology →
Last updated: October 26, 2026 at 2:10 AM UTC
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