76% of spread bets in Thunder at Mavericks on October 28, 2026 are on the Oklahoma City Thunder, with 74% of the money.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Oklahoma City Thunder -6 | 76% | 74% | -112 |
| Dallas Mavericks +6 | 24% | 26% | -107 | |
| Total | Over 230.5 | 71% | 73% | -110 |
| Under 230.5 | 29% | 27% | -113 | |
| Moneyline | Oklahoma City Thunder | 92% | 86% | -225 |
| Dallas Mavericks | 8% | 14% | +185 |
76% of the spread bets on Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks are on the Oklahoma City Thunder (-6), with 74% of the money. That's a one-sided split for the NBA, where the typical game has about 61% of spread tickets on the more popular side.
The spread is set to divide opinion, so a lean this strong means the crowd likes one side at this number. Fading heavily bet NBA spread sides hasn't beaten the bookmaker's margin over the last two seasons, so treat the number as a read on the crowd, not on the game.
On the total, 71% of bets and 73% of the money are on the Over 230.5. That's the normal pattern in the NBA: over the last two seasons, 60% or more of total bets landed on the over in about 96% of games.
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Bet percentage counts tickets: every wager counts once. Money percentage counts dollars, so one $1,000 bet outweighs a hundred $10 ones. Reading the two together shows whether the bigger bettors agree with the crowd.
Not on the split alone. Across the last two NBA seasons, neither backing the side with more money than tickets nor fading heavily bet spread sides reliably beat the bookmaker's margin at closing prices. Splits are context for your own read, not a pick.
The favorite gives points and the underdog gets them. A favorite at -6.5 has to win by 7 or more to cover; the underdog at +6.5 covers with a win or a loss by 6 or fewer. Unlike hockey's fixed puck line, the number itself moves with the betting.
At the latest snapshot, the Oklahoma City Thunder have 76% of the spread bets and 74% of the money. The table above has both sides of the spread, the total and the moneyline.
It's on the high side. The typical NBA game closes with about 61% of spread tickets on the more popular side, and one game in four clears 68%. Even so, a split this one-sided says what the crowd thinks, not what will happen.
Less than you might think. The spread is built to split opinion, so the typical NBA game closes with about 61% of spread tickets on the more popular side, and one game in four clears 68%. A split past 70% is a real lean from the crowd. Fading those heavy public sides has not beaten the bookmaker's margin either. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money: see our methodology →
Last updated: October 28, 2026 at 2:59 AM UTC
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