Magic at Raptors: the Toronto Raptors draw 64% of spread bets and 70% of the money, a 6-point gap.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Orlando Magic +5 | 36% | 30% | -112 |
| Toronto Raptors -5 | 64% | 70% | -109 | |
| Total | Over 223.5 | 87% | 87% | -110 |
| Under 223.5 | 13% | 13% | -113 | |
| Moneyline | Orlando Magic | 15% | 15% | +150 |
| Toronto Raptors | 85% | 85% | -185 |
On Orlando Magic at Toronto Raptors, the Toronto Raptors (-5) draw 64% of the spread bets and 70% of the money. The money runs 6 points ahead of the tickets, so the larger bets lean the same way as the crowd.
A gap of 6 points is a little wider than the typical NBA spread, which closes about 4 points apart. It's worth a glance, not a conclusion.
On the total, 87% of bets and 87% of the money are on the Over 223.5. That's the normal pattern in the NBA: over the last two seasons, 60% or more of total bets landed on the over in about 96% of games.
None of this is a pick. It's how bets and money are landing on this game right now. See every NBA game tonight →
NBA analytics tracks a short list of signals from two seasons of closing lines, graded live as the season goes, plus the betting habits worth knowing about. No picks until a signal earns it. For subscribers.
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No. They reflect publicly reported sportsbook handle, aggregated, rather than a single book's customers. Individual books can differ, especially early in the day when few bets are in.
Bet percentage counts tickets: every wager counts once. Money percentage counts dollars, so one $1,000 bet outweighs a hundred $10 ones. Reading the two together shows whether the bigger bettors agree with the crowd.
The Toronto Raptors have 70% of the spread dollars against 64% of the tickets, a 6-point difference. A gap that size means the larger bets are not landing in the same proportions as the ticket count.
Not on the split alone. Across the last two NBA seasons, neither backing the side with more money than tickets nor fading heavily bet spread sides reliably beat the bookmaker's margin at closing prices. Splits are context for your own read, not a pick.
Almost always. Over the last two seasons, 60% or more of total bets landed on the over in about 96% of NBA games. On this game the public side of the total is the Over 223.5.
Every ticket counts once in the bet percentage, but in the money percentage a $1,000 bet counts a hundred times more than a $10 one. When the two disagree, the bigger bets are landing somewhere other than the crowd. On NBA spreads the two usually sit close: last season the typical closing gap was about 4 points, and only about one game in eight reached 10. On its own, following the money has not reliably beaten NBA prices. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money: see our methodology →
Last updated: October 28, 2026 at 1:07 AM UTC
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