Sharp money signal in Notre Dame at BYU: Notre Dame has 95.0% of moneyline bets but only 34.0% of the dollars.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Notre Dame | 95% | 34% | -375 |
| BYU | 5% | 66% | +410 |
Notre Dame at BYU is one of the strongest sharp-money signals on this week's NCAAF slate. On the moneyline market, 95.0% of bets are on Notre Dame but only 34.0% of the dollars — a 61.0-point gap between bet count and money share that ranks among the largest divergences in the slate.
That gap is the cleanest sharp-money tell we have. When the bet count and dollar share point in different directions, the dollars are coming from fewer, larger checks — the kind of bets that distinguish high-volume, professional action from the public crowd. Books rarely give back this much line value on a casual mistake; the price you're seeing is what the market thinks of the divergence in real time.
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On college spreads the median gap is about 11 points and roughly a quarter of games clear 24, so the bar sits higher here than in a professional league. On totals the same number means considerably more — a 20-point totals gap is about three times rarer than the same gap on a spread.
We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence and store every snapshot, so a game's splits can be read as a series rather than a single reading. This page shows the most recent snapshot before kickoff.
The ticket count and the dollar count are measuring different bettors. A 61.0-point gap means the average wager on Notre Dame is smaller than the average wager on the other side — a lot of small bets one way, fewer and larger ones the other.
Less than you'd think. College boards run far more lopsided than professional ones because so many games pair a ranked team with an overmatched opponent. On the games we track, the median spread draws about 82% of tickets to one side, so a heavy count on its own is ordinary. The gap between bets and dollars is the part that carries information.
Sharp money is wagering from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that trails the bet percentage on the popular side — many small tickets one way, fewer and larger ones the other. On a college spread the typical gap is about 11 points, so a gap well past that is the part worth noticing. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money: see our methodology →
Last updated: October 12, 2026 at 9:45 AM UTC
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