Notable totals split in Houston Texans at Los Angeles Chargers: a 19.0-point bet/money gap on Over 40.5.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Houston Texans -4.5 | 71% | 91% | -114 |
| Los Angeles Chargers +4.5 | 29% | 9% | -105 | |
| Total | Over 40.5 | 70% | 51% | -111 |
| Under 40.5 | 30% | 49% | -108 | |
| Moneyline | Houston Texans | 88% | 87% | -210 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 12% | 13% | +175 |
Houston Texans at Los Angeles Chargers shows a meaningful bet/money divergence on the totals market — not the biggest split on the slate, but worth a look. 70.0% of bets are on Over 40.5 while only 51.0% of dollars are on the same side — a 19.0-point gap.
A 10 to 20-point gap is the band where the data starts to mean something but doesn't yet scream. It usually means a handful of larger bets landed on Under 40.5 without the public catching on yet, or the public is leaning on a side that the market doesn't fully respect. Either way, the money side here is Under 40.5, and the price reflects what the books think of that lean.
Worth noting, not worth chasing alone. Pair it with the broader slate context if you're going to use it. See how we calculate splits →.
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The ticket count and the dollar count are measuring different bettors. A 19.0-point gap means the average wager on Over 40.5 is smaller than the average wager on the other side — a lot of small bets one way, fewer and larger ones the other. That is the footprint sharper money usually leaves.
We don't issue picks. This page shows where the tickets and the dollars are landing so you can weigh that against your own read of the game.
The total and both sides' splits are in the table above. NFL totals split about as tightly as spreads do — the typical bet/money gap is around 3 points — so when a total opens a double-digit gap it is a top-decile event and this page leads with it.
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On NFL spreads the median gap between a side's share of tickets and its share of dollars is about 2 points, a quarter of games clear 9, and one in ten clears 22. So a gap in the teens is already a top-quarter event here, where the same number on a college board would be ordinary.
Sharp money is wagering from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that trails the bet percentage on the popular side — many small tickets one way, fewer and larger ones the other. On an NFL spread the typical gap is only about 2 points and one game in ten clears 22, so a double-digit gap is the part worth noticing. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money: see our methodology →
Last updated: November 3, 2026 at 10:52 AM UTC
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