Where the dollars disagree with the bet count by 12 points or more. These are the games where the bigger bets are taking a side opposite the casual public.
| Matchup | Public side | Bet % | Money % | Gap | Sharp side |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans Saints @ Detroit Lions splits → | Under 49.5 | 86.0% | 33.0% | 53.0 | Over 49.5 |
| Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans splits → | Under 44.5 | 83.0% | 37.0% | 46.0 | Over 44.5 |
| Chicago Bears @ Carolina Panthers splits → | Under 47.5 | 89.0% | 49.0% | 40.0 | Over 47.5 |
| Baltimore Ravens @ Indianapolis Colts splits → | Baltimore Ravens -3 | 67.0% | 36.0% | 31.0 | Indianapolis Colts +3 |
| San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams splits → | Los Angeles Rams -3.5 | 61.0% | 42.0% | 19.0 | San Francisco 49ers +3.5 |
| Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs splits → | Under 42.5 | 78.0% | 62.0% | 16.0 | Over 42.5 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Cincinnati Bengals splits → | Under 50.5 | 90.0% | 75.0% | 15.0 | Over 50.5 |
| Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders splits → | Las Vegas Raiders -3 | 54.0% | 41.0% | 13.0 | Miami Dolphins +3 |
Our advanced model rates every NFL game by expected value, using thousands of historical splits as the backbone. This week's highest-EV picks are reserved for subscribers.
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16 games carry a published split this week, and 8 of them make this page. The board fills in from the moment lines are posted and every game shows its latest snapshot until kickoff.
By the number in the headline column: the bet/money gap for the splits and sharp-action pages, the public bet percentage for the favorites, underdogs and most-bet pages. Every row reads the game's leading market — the spread, unless a total's split is the more unusual one.
No. These pages rank where the tickets and the dollars are landing so you can weigh that against your own read. The subscriber page is where the expected-value model turns the same data into rated plays.
Continuously through the game week: the source is polled on a sub-hourly cadence on game days and every few hours between them, and the page re-reads the latest snapshot on each visit. Once the week's last game kicks off the board rolls to the next week as soon as its first lines are captured.
Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that trails the bet percentage on the popular side — many small tickets one way, fewer and larger ones the other. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: September 15, 2026 at 2:51 AM UTC
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