This week's NFL games ranked by the largest divergence between the share of bets and the share of money on the leading market — the spread unless a total's split is the more unusual one. The bigger the split, the stronger the signal that the average bet on one side is bigger than on the other.
| Matchup | Public side | Bet % | Money % | Gap | Sharp side |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans Saints @ Detroit Lions splits → | Under 49.5 | 86.0% | 33.0% | 53.0 | Over 49.5 |
| Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans splits → | Under 44.5 | 83.0% | 37.0% | 46.0 | Over 44.5 |
| Chicago Bears @ Carolina Panthers splits → | Under 47.5 | 89.0% | 49.0% | 40.0 | Over 47.5 |
| Baltimore Ravens @ Indianapolis Colts splits → | Baltimore Ravens -3 | 67.0% | 36.0% | 31.0 | Indianapolis Colts +3 |
| San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams splits → | Los Angeles Rams -3.5 | 61.0% | 42.0% | 19.0 | San Francisco 49ers +3.5 |
| Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs splits → | Under 42.5 | 78.0% | 62.0% | 16.0 | Over 42.5 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Cincinnati Bengals splits → | Under 50.5 | 90.0% | 75.0% | 15.0 | Over 50.5 |
| Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders splits → | Las Vegas Raiders -3 | 54.0% | 41.0% | 13.0 | Miami Dolphins +3 |
| Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings splits → | Green Bay Packers +2.5 | 57.0% | 48.0% | 9.0 | Minnesota Vikings -2.5 |
| New York Jets @ Tennessee Titans splits → | Tennessee Titans -1.5 | 55.0% | 48.0% | 7.0 | New York Jets +1.5 |
Our advanced model rates every NFL game by expected value, using thousands of historical splits as the backbone. This week's highest-EV picks are reserved for subscribers.
Want a free look? See this week's biggest splits →
16 games carry a published split this week, and 10 of them make this page. The board fills in from the moment lines are posted and every game shows its latest snapshot until kickoff.
By the number in the headline column: the bet/money gap for the splits and sharp-action pages, the public bet percentage for the favorites, underdogs and most-bet pages. Every row reads the game's leading market — the spread, unless a total's split is the more unusual one.
No. These pages rank where the tickets and the dollars are landing so you can weigh that against your own read. The subscriber page is where the expected-value model turns the same data into rated plays.
Continuously through the game week: the source is polled on a sub-hourly cadence on game days and every few hours between them, and the page re-reads the latest snapshot on each visit. Once the week's last game kicks off the board rolls to the next week as soon as its first lines are captured.
The gap between a side's share of tickets and its share of dollars is the signal. On NFL spreads the median gap is about 2 points, a quarter of games clear 9 and one in ten clears 22. A gap past that bar usually means the average bet on the money side is materially larger — that's where sharp money lives. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: September 15, 2026 at 2:52 AM UTC
Every game on the slate, ranked by public-vs-money divergence. Splits-based top opportunities, updated continuously. No signup, no paywall.
See all of this week's splits →