Underdogs that are still drawing the majority of public tickets against the spread. These are usually name-brand teams getting points, or a recent result that flipped the narrative faster than the number moved.
| Matchup | Public side | Bet % | Money % | Gap | Sharp side |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs splits → | Under 42.5 | 78.0% | 62.0% | 16.0 | Over 42.5 |
| Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings splits → | Green Bay Packers +2.5 | 57.0% | 48.0% | 9.0 | Minnesota Vikings -2.5 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Cincinnati Bengals splits → | Under 50.5 | 90.0% | 75.0% | 15.0 | Over 50.5 |
| New England Patriots @ Seattle Seahawks splits → | New England Patriots +3 | 53.0% | 69.0% | -16.0 | Seattle Seahawks -3 |
Our advanced model rates every NFL game by expected value, using thousands of historical splits as the backbone. This week's highest-EV picks are reserved for subscribers.
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16 games carry a published split this week, and 4 of them make this page. The board fills in from the moment lines are posted and every game shows its latest snapshot until kickoff.
By the number in the headline column: the bet/money gap for the splits and sharp-action pages, the public bet percentage for the favorites, underdogs and most-bet pages. Every row reads the game's leading market — the spread, unless a total's split is the more unusual one.
No. These pages rank where the tickets and the dollars are landing so you can weigh that against your own read. The subscriber page is where the expected-value model turns the same data into rated plays.
Continuously through the game week: the source is polled on a sub-hourly cadence on game days and every few hours between them, and the page re-reads the latest snapshot on each visit. Once the week's last game kicks off the board rolls to the next week as soon as its first lines are captured.
Underdogs draw public tickets when there's a name-recognition pull or when recent results have flipped the narrative. The spread still says the favorite is favored — so a public underdog is the crowd fading the number, and the money percentage says whether the bigger bets agree. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: September 15, 2026 at 2:54 AM UTC
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See all of this week's splits →