Notable spread split in New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins: a 13.0-point bet/money gap on New England Patriots -7.5.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | New England Patriots -7.5 | 71% | 58% | -105 |
| Miami Dolphins +7.5 | 29% | 42% | -114 | |
| Total | Over 44.5 | 70% | 75% | -110 |
| Under 44.5 | 30% | 25% | -110 | |
| Moneyline | New England Patriots | 96% | 94% | -375 |
| Miami Dolphins | 4% | 6% | +292 |
New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins shows a meaningful bet/money divergence on the spread market — not the biggest split on the slate, but worth a look. 71.0% of bets are on New England Patriots -7.5 while only 58.0% of dollars are on the same side — a 13.0-point gap.
A 10 to 20-point gap is the band where the data starts to mean something but doesn't yet scream. It usually means a handful of larger bets landed on Miami Dolphins +7.5 without the public catching on yet, or the public is leaning on a side that the market doesn't fully respect. Either way, the money side here is Miami Dolphins +7.5, and the price reflects what the books think of that lean.
Worth noting, not worth chasing alone. Pair it with the broader slate context if you're going to use it. See how we calculate splits →.
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The ticket count and the dollar count are measuring different bettors. A 13.0-point gap means the average wager on New England Patriots -7.5 is smaller than the average wager on the other side — a lot of small bets one way, fewer and larger ones the other. That is the footprint sharper money usually leaves.
On NFL spreads the median gap between a side's share of tickets and its share of dollars is about 2 points, a quarter of games clear 9, and one in ten clears 22. So a gap in the teens is already a top-quarter event here, where the same number on a college board would be ordinary.
We don't issue picks. This page shows where the tickets and the dollars are landing so you can weigh that against your own read of the game.
We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence and store every snapshot from the moment a line is posted, so a game's splits can be read as a series rather than a single reading. This page shows the most recent snapshot before kickoff.
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Sharp money is wagering from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that trails the bet percentage on the popular side — many small tickets one way, fewer and larger ones the other. On an NFL spread the typical gap is only about 2 points and one game in ten clears 22, so a double-digit gap is the part worth noticing. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money: see our methodology →
Last updated: October 27, 2026 at 10:44 AM UTC
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