The money is backing the public in Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots: Las Vegas Raiders +3.5 takes 70.0% of spread bets and 79.0% of the dollars.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Las Vegas Raiders +3.5 | 70% | 79% | -115 |
| New England Patriots -3.5 | 30% | 21% | -110 | |
| Total | Over 44.5 | 67% | 73% | -107 |
| Under 44.5 | 33% | 27% | -115 | |
| Moneyline | Las Vegas Raiders | 26% | 75% | +168 |
| New England Patriots | 74% | 25% | -185 |
Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots is the uncommon case where the money and the ticket count agree. 70.0% of bets on the spread market are on Las Vegas Raiders +3.5, and the dollars are heavier still at 79.0% — a 9.0-point move in the opposite direction from the divergence these pages usually track.
That distinction matters. The signal we normally follow is dollars lagging tickets, which says many small bets are stacking one side while fewer, larger ones take the other. Here there is no such split: the bettors writing the big checks and the ones writing the small ones want the same side. That is the absence of a contrarian signal rather than the presence of a play, and the price has almost certainly absorbed it already.
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Yes, more than it would be in college football. NFL spreads are set by the most efficient market in American sports, so the typical game splits its tickets around 63/37 and only about one in four sides draws 70% or more. A count that lopsided usually means a name-brand team in a primetime window — and the money percentage against it is the number that says whether the sharper bettors agree.
On NFL spreads the median gap between a side's share of tickets and its share of dollars is about 2 points, a quarter of games clear 9, and one in ten clears 22. So a gap in the teens is already a top-quarter event here, where the same number on a college board would be ordinary.
We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence and store every snapshot from the moment a line is posted, so a game's splits can be read as a series rather than a single reading. This page shows the most recent snapshot before kickoff.
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We don't issue picks. This page shows where the tickets and the dollars are landing so you can weigh that against your own read of the game.
Usually the dollars and the ticket count disagree, and the gap between them is the signal. Sometimes they line up — the popular side holds an even larger share of the money than of the bets. That is the absence of a contrarian signal, not the presence of a play: big and small bettors want the same side, and the price already reflects it. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: October 6, 2026 at 11:28 AM UTC
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