The Tampa Bay Lightning have 88% of moneyline bets but only 65% of the money in Lightning at Sabres, a 23-point split.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tampa Bay Lightning | 88% | 65% | -128 |
| Buffalo Sabres | 12% | 43% | +109 | |
| Total | Over 6.5 | 82% | 85% | -115 |
| Under 6.5 | 18% | 15% | -105 |
The tickets and the dollars disagree on Tampa Bay Lightning at Buffalo Sabres. The Tampa Bay Lightning have 88% of the moneyline bets but only 65% of the money, so the average bet on the Buffalo Sabres is a good deal larger than the average bet on the Tampa Bay Lightning.
A split of 23 points puts this game in roughly the top quarter of NHL games. It tells you the bigger bettors see this game differently from the crowd. It doesn't tell you they're right: across the last two seasons, simply following the money on NHL moneylines lost about the bookmaker's margin.
On the total, 82% of bets and 85% of the money are on the Over 6.5. That's the normal pattern in hockey: over the last two seasons, 65% or more of total bets landed on the over in about 94% of NHL games.
None of this is a pick. It's how bets and money are landing on this game right now. See every NHL game tonight →
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Not on the split alone. Across the last two NHL seasons, backing the side with more money than tickets and fading heavily bet public sides both lost at closing prices, about the size of the bookmaker's margin. Splits are context for your own read, not a pick.
Bet percentage counts tickets: every wager counts once. Money percentage counts dollars, so one $1,000 bet outweighs a hundred $10 ones. Reading the two together shows whether the bigger bettors agree with the crowd.
Almost always. Over the last two seasons, 65% or more of total bets landed on the over in about 94% of NHL games. On this game the public side of the total is the Over 6.5.
The Tampa Bay Lightning have 65% of the moneyline dollars against 88% of the tickets, a 23-point difference. A gap that size means the larger bets are not landing in the same proportions as the ticket count.
Through the day on game days, from publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence, until puck drop. The page shows the latest snapshot each time it loads.
Every ticket counts once in the bet percentage, but in the money percentage a $1,000 bet counts a hundred times more than a $10 one. When the two disagree, the bigger bets are landing somewhere other than the crowd. In the NHL that is common: last season the typical closing moneyline gap was about 11 points, and one game in four cleared 22. On its own, following the money has not beaten NHL prices. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money: see our methodology →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 at 7:20 PM UTC
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