The Tampa Bay Lightning drew 72.8% of moneyline bets on average in 2025-26, #4 of 32, and went 35-23 as the public side.
| 2026-27 | 2025-26 | |
|---|---|---|
| Games tracked | 3 | 76 |
| Moneyline record | 2-1 | 45-31 |
| Average share of moneyline bets | 81.7% | 72.8% |
| Average share of moneyline money | 80.7% | 63.3% |
| Rank by bet share | #5 of 32 | #4 of 32 |
| Games as the public side (60%+ of bets) | 3 | 58 |
| Record as the public side | 2-1 | 35-23 |
Regular season, closing splits. Moneyline records count overtime and shootout losses as losses.
The 2026-27 season is only 3 games old for the Tampa Bay Lightning, so this section reads 2025-26 until they reach 10. The table above has both seasons.
The Tampa Bay Lightning were one of the most-bet teams in the NHL in 2025-26: #4 of 32, with 72.8% of moneyline tickets on average and the public side (60%+ of bets) in 58 of 76 games. In hockey that mostly says how often a team is favored: the public backs favorites, and a strong team is favored most nights.
Their share of the money ran 9.5 points below their share of the tickets (63.3%), so the bigger bets were a little less keen on them than the crowd. As the public side they went 35-23, a record that mostly reflects how often they were favored.
None of this is a pick. Across the league, neither backing nor fading the public side on its own has beaten NHL prices over the last two seasons. See tonight's NHL splits →
NHL analytics tracks a short list of signals graded over two seasons of closing lines, and flags a game only when tonight's price still leaves value. For subscribers.
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| Date | Matchup | Result | Tampa Bay Lightning bet % | Tampa Bay Lightning money % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Philadelphia Flyers @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W 4-1 | 92.0% | 88.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | Washington Capitals @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W 3-1 | 71.0% | 69.0% |
| 2026-10-01 | Tampa Bay Lightning @ New York Rangers | L 1-5 | 82.0% | 85.0% |
In 2025-26 the Tampa Bay Lightning drew 72.8% of moneyline bets and 63.3% of the money on average, across 76 regular-season games. That ranks #4 of 32 by bet share.
Yes. They ranked #4 of 32 by average share of moneyline bets in 2025-26. In hockey that mostly tracks how often a team is favored: the public backs favorites, and a strong team is favored most nights.
On the NHL page, which shows bets and money on the moneyline, puck line and total for every game on tonight's slate, updated through the day until puck drop.
Not on the split alone. Across the league over the last two seasons, betting against heavily backed NHL sides on the moneyline lost about the bookmaker's margin. A team's record as the public side mostly reflects how often it was favored.
In 2025-26 the Tampa Bay Lightning drew 60% or more of moneyline bets in 58 games and went 35-23 in them. Moneyline results count overtime and shootout losses as losses.
How we track public bets and money: see our methodology →
Last updated: October 8, 2026 at 3:57 PM UTC
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