The Senators lead the Lightning 4-3 in 7 meetings since 2024-25, with the public bets and money for each game.
| Date | Matchup | Ottawa Senators result | Ottawa Senators bet % | Ottawa Senators money % | Ottawa Senators moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | Tampa Bay Lightning @ Ottawa Senators | W 6-2 | 68% | 96% | -146 |
| 2026-03-28 | Ottawa Senators @ Tampa Bay Lightning | L 2-4 | 20% | 48% | +114 |
| 2025-10-09 | Ottawa Senators @ Tampa Bay Lightning | W 5-4 | 12% | 14% | +150 |
| 2025-04-03 | Tampa Bay Lightning @ Ottawa Senators | W 2-1 | 16% | 36% | +130 |
| 2025-02-06 | Ottawa Senators @ Tampa Bay Lightning | L 1-5 | 18% | 29% | +140 |
| 2025-02-04 | Ottawa Senators @ Tampa Bay Lightning | L 3-4 | 24% | 38% | +145 |
| 2024-10-19 | Tampa Bay Lightning @ Ottawa Senators | W 5-4 | 15% | 10% | +120 |
Closing splits and closing moneyline for each game. Moneyline results count overtime and shootout losses as losses.
The Ottawa Senators lead the Tampa Bay Lightning 4-3 across 7 meetings since 2024-25, as Atlantic Division rivals who meet three or four times a season. On average the Ottawa Senators drew 25% of the moneyline bets in these games and the Tampa Bay Lightning 75%.
The public backed one side clearly (60% or more of moneyline bets) in 7 of them. The Ottawa Senators went 1-0 in the games where the crowd backed them. The Tampa Bay Lightning went 3-3 in the games where the crowd backed them. In hockey the public side is usually the favorite, so these records mostly say which team was favored and whether the favorite held up.
None of this is a pick. Across the league, neither backing nor fading the public side on its own has beaten NHL prices over the last two seasons. The next meeting will show its live split on the NHL page on game day.
NHL analytics tracks a short list of signals graded over two seasons of closing lines, and flags a game only when tonight's price still leaves value. For subscribers.
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The Ottawa Senators lead the Tampa Bay Lightning 4-3 across 7 meetings since 2024-25, playoffs included. Moneyline results count overtime and shootout losses as losses.
On average the Ottawa Senators drew 25% of the moneyline bets in their meetings since 2024-25. The public put 60% or more on the Ottawa Senators once and on the Tampa Bay Lightning 6 times, which mostly follows who was favored that night.
As Atlantic Division rivals they meet three or four times in a regular season, plus any playoff series. Every meeting since 2024-25 is in the table on this page.
Not on its own. Rosters change from season to season and the moneyline already prices both teams' current form. The record and the splits are context: how the crowd has seen this matchup and how those games went.
On the NHL page on game day, which shows bets and money on the moneyline, puck line and total for every game, updated through the day until puck drop.
The bet and money columns are always the Ottawa Senators' side, whoever was home. The rest went to the Tampa Bay Lightning. When money runs well ahead of bets, the larger tickets were on that side; when it trails, the crowd was. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money: see our methodology →
Last updated: October 8, 2026 at 4:00 PM UTC
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