Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Islanders Public Betting Percentages, October 10, 2026

91% of moneyline bets in Lightning at Islanders on October 10, 2026 are on the Tampa Bay Lightning, with 92% of the money.

Splits at the latest snapshot

Market Side Bet % Money % Odds
Moneyline Tampa Bay Lightning 91% 92% -160
New York Islanders 9% 8% +145
Total Over 5.5 81% 85% -110
Under 5.5 19% 15% -103

What the data says

91% of the moneyline bets on Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Islanders are on the Tampa Bay Lightning, with 92% of the money. That's a one-sided split, though not unusual in hockey, where the typical game has about 80% of moneyline tickets on one side.

Splits like this mostly track the favorite: the public backs the team the price says should win. Fading heavily bet NHL sides hasn't paid over the last two seasons either, so treat the number as a read on the crowd, not on the game.

On the total, 81% of bets and 85% of the money are on the Over 5.5. That's the normal pattern in hockey: over the last two seasons, 65% or more of total bets landed on the over in about 94% of NHL games.

None of this is a pick. It's how bets and money are landing on this game right now. See every NHL game tonight →

Splits alone haven't beaten NHL prices. Some spots have.

NHL analytics tracks a short list of signals graded over two seasons of closing lines, and flags a game only when tonight's price still leaves value. For subscribers.

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Where this game ranks tonight

Slate rank
#6 of tonight's most-bet games (see the full ranking)

Related

Frequently asked questions

Does the public bet the over in NHL games?

Almost always. Over the last two seasons, 65% or more of total bets landed on the over in about 94% of NHL games. On this game the public side of the total is the Over 5.5.

What are the public betting percentages for Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Islanders?

At the latest snapshot, the Tampa Bay Lightning have 91% of the moneyline bets and 92% of the money. The table above has both teams on the moneyline, puck line and total.

When do these NHL betting splits update?

Through the day on game days, from publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence, until puck drop. The page shows the latest snapshot each time it loads.

Should you bet with the money in the NHL?

Not on the split alone. Across the last two NHL seasons, backing the side with more money than tickets and fading heavily bet public sides both lost at closing prices, about the size of the bookmaker's margin. Splits are context for your own read, not a pick.

Are these splits from one sportsbook?

No. They reflect publicly reported sportsbook handle, aggregated, rather than a single book's customers. Individual books can differ, especially early in the day when few bets are in.

Why are NHL moneyline splits so one-sided?

Hockey moneylines usually price a clear favorite, and the public backs favorites. The typical NHL game closes with about 80% of moneyline tickets on one side, and one in four clears 87%. A one-sided split mostly tells you who the favorite is. Fading those heavy public sides has not paid at NHL prices either. See our methodology →

How we track public bets and money: see our methodology →

Last updated: October 10, 2026 at 3:48 PM UTC

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