Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays Betting Splits — August 15, 2026

Sharp money signal in Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays: Under 7.5 has 70% of bets but only 38% of the dollars.

Splits at the latest snapshot

Market Side Bet % Money % Odds
Moneyline Baltimore Orioles 29% 13% +160
Tampa Bay Rays 71% 87% -141
Run line Baltimore Orioles +1.5 19% 12% -145
Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 81% 88% +148
Total Over 7.5 30% 62% -140
Under 7.5 70% 38% -110

What the data says

Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays is one of the strongest sharp-money signals on tonight's MLB slate. On the totals market, 70% of bets are on Under 7.5 but only 38% of the dollars — a 32-point gap between bet count and money share that ranks among the largest divergences in the slate.

That gap is the cleanest sharp-money tell we have. When the bet count and dollar share point in different directions, the dollars are coming from fewer, larger checks — the kind of bets that distinguish high-volume, professional action from the public crowd. Books rarely give back this much line value on a casual mistake; the price you're seeing is what the market thinks of the divergence in real time.

None of this is a pick. It's where the money is landing — you decide what to do with it. See how we calculate splits →.

Tonight's strongest MLB plays — locked.

Our advanced model rates every MLB game by expected value, using thousands of historical splits as the backbone. Tonight's highest-EV picks are reserved for subscribers.

Advanced Pick #1 — +EV — ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ · ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ Moneyline
Advanced Pick #2 — +EV — ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ · ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ Run Line
Advanced Pick #3 — +EV — ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ · ▒▒▒▒▒▒▒ Total
Unlock advanced EV picks →

Want a free look? See tonight's biggest splits →

Related

Frequently asked questions

What is the difference between bet% and money%?

Bet% is the share of tickets wagered on a side. Money% is the share of dollars. They diverge when one side draws bigger bets per ticket than the other.

What is a good bet% gap to look for?

Look for 15+ point gaps where the money is on the unpopular side. Those are the games where the average bet size is doing the talking.

Where can I bet {away} vs. {home}?

Any licensed sportsbook in your state offers MLB markets. We don't recommend specific books — see our responsible gambling resources before you wager.

What is sharp money?

Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side. See our learn page for more.

How does Fade the Public Analytics calculate splits?

We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.

What is sharp money?

Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side — bigger checks per ticket on the contrarian view. See our methodology →

How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →

Last updated: September 6, 2026 at 2:37 PM UTC

See tonight's biggest MLB splits — free.

Every game on the slate, ranked by public-vs-money divergence. Splits-based top opportunities, updated continuously. No signup, no paywall.

See all of tonight's splits →

Or unlock our advanced EV picks →