Where the dollars disagree with the bet count by 15 points or more. These are the games where sharp bettors are taking a side opposite the casual public.
| Matchup | Public side | Bet % | Money % | Gap | Sharp side |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletics @ Chicago White Sox | Chicago White Sox | 67% | 35% | 32 | Athletics |
| Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Pittsburgh Pirates | 40% | 10% | 30 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| Atlanta Braves @ St. Louis Cardinals | St. Louis Cardinals | 39% | 12% | 27 | Atlanta Braves |
| Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres | Under 8 | 36% | 12% | 24 | Over 8 |
| Los Angeles Angels @ Minnesota Twins | Los Angeles Angels | 31% | 10% | 21 | Minnesota Twins |
| Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants | Under 8.5 | 35% | 14% | 21 | Over 8.5 |
| Seattle Mariners @ Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays | 73% | 52% | 21 | Seattle Mariners |
| Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers | Houston Astros | 57% | 37% | 20 | Texas Rangers |
| Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds | Cincinnati Reds | 42% | 24% | 18 | Chicago Cubs |
| New York Yankees @ Washington Nationals | Under 9 | 40% | 24% | 16 | Over 9 |
Our advanced model rates every MLB game by expected value, using thousands of historical splits as the backbone. Tonight's highest-EV picks are reserved for subscribers.
Want a free look? See tonight's biggest splits →
We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.
There are 10 games on today's MLB slate; 10 have a meaningful bet/money gap.
The most-faded teams this season — by ATS record when they're a public favorite — are listed on the most-faded leaderboard.
These are data displays. We don't issue picks. Use the splits to inform your own bets — and bet responsibly.
Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side — bigger checks per ticket on the contrarian view. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: July 12, 2026 at 9:58 AM UTC
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