Where the dollars disagree with the bet count by 15 points or more. These are the games where sharp bettors are taking a side opposite the casual public.
| Matchup | Public side | Bet % | Money % | Gap | Sharp side |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Under 9 | 41% | 10% | 31 | Over 9 |
| Washington Nationals @ Cleveland Guardians | Under 8 | 50% | 25% | 25 | Over 8 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants | Under 7.5 | 58% | 33% | 25 | Over 7.5 |
| Tampa Bay Rays @ Baltimore Orioles | Baltimore Orioles +1.5 | 30% | 6% | 24 | Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 |
| Atlanta Braves @ Boston Red Sox | Under 8 | 36% | 16% | 20 | Over 8 |
| Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers | Texas Rangers | 70% | 50% | 20 | Houston Astros |
| Cincinnati Reds @ New York Mets | Under 8 | 40% | 21% | 19 | Over 8 |
| Philadelphia Phillies @ San Diego Padres | San Diego Padres +1.5 | 24% | 8% | 16 | Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 |
| Miami Marlins @ Toronto Blue Jays | Toronto Blue Jays | 78% | 63% | 15 | Miami Marlins |
Our advanced model rates every MLB game by expected value, using thousands of historical splits as the backbone. Tonight's highest-EV picks are reserved for subscribers.
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We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.
There are 9 games on today's MLB slate; 9 have a meaningful bet/money gap.
The most-faded teams this season — by ATS record when they're a public favorite — are listed on the most-faded leaderboard.
These are data displays. We don't issue picks. Use the splits to inform your own bets — and bet responsibly.
Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side — bigger checks per ticket on the contrarian view. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: May 27, 2026 at 6:30 PM UTC
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