Where the dollars disagree with the bet count by 15 points or more. These are the games where sharp bettors are taking a side opposite the casual public.
| Matchup | Public side | Bet % | Money % | Gap | Sharp side |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astros | Houston Astros | 51% | 24% | 27 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| Tampa Bay Rays @ Texas Rangers | Texas Rangers | 34% | 9% | 25 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds | Under 9 | 29% | 12% | 17 | Over 9 |
| Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians | Detroit Tigers +1.5 | 29% | 13% | 16 | Cleveland Guardians -1.5 |
Our advanced model rates every MLB game by expected value, using thousands of historical splits as the backbone. Tonight's highest-EV picks are reserved for subscribers.
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We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.
There are 4 games on today's MLB slate; 4 have a meaningful bet/money gap.
The most-faded teams this season — by ATS record when they're a public favorite — are listed on the most-faded leaderboard.
These are data displays. We don't issue picks. Use the splits to inform your own bets — and bet responsibly.
Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side — bigger checks per ticket on the contrarian view. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: September 6, 2026 at 12:18 PM UTC
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