Where the dollars disagree with the bet count by 15 points or more. These are the games where sharp bettors are taking a side opposite the casual public.
| Matchup | Public side | Bet % | Money % | Gap | Sharp side |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves @ St. Louis Cardinals | St. Louis Cardinals | 60% | 26% | 34 | Atlanta Braves |
| Cleveland Guardians @ Miami Marlins | Miami Marlins | 50% | 25% | 25 | Cleveland Guardians |
| Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers | Detroit Tigers | 48% | 28% | 20 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| Athletics @ Chicago White Sox | Chicago White Sox | 70% | 50% | 20 | Athletics |
| Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers | Houston Astros +1.5 | 40% | 23% | 17 | Texas Rangers -1.5 |
| Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds | Cincinnati Reds +1.5 | 28% | 12% | 16 | Chicago Cubs -1.5 |
| Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres | San Diego Padres +1.5 | 44% | 28% | 16 | Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 |
Our advanced model rates every MLB game by expected value, using thousands of historical splits as the backbone. Tonight's highest-EV picks are reserved for subscribers.
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We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.
There are 7 games on today's MLB slate; 7 have a meaningful bet/money gap.
The most-faded teams this season — by ATS record when they're a public favorite — are listed on the most-faded leaderboard.
These are data displays. We don't issue picks. Use the splits to inform your own bets — and bet responsibly.
Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side — bigger checks per ticket on the contrarian view. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: July 13, 2026 at 10:40 AM UTC
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