Today's most-bet MLB favorites — the chalk side with the highest share of public bets. Public favorites historically underperform their implied win rate, especially when the money percentage trails the bet count.
| Matchup | Public side | Bet % | Money % | Gap | Sharp side |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Los Angeles Dodgers | 93.0% | 79.0% | 14.0 | Colorado Rockies |
| New York Yankees @ Kansas City Royals | New York Yankees | 92.0% | 92.0% | 0.0 | Kansas City Royals |
| St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers | 84.0% | 82.0% | 2.0 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Atlanta Braves @ Boston Red Sox | Atlanta Braves | 83.0% | 73.0% | 10.0 | Boston Red Sox |
| Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants | Arizona Diamondbacks | 80.0% | 89.0% | -9.0 | San Francisco Giants |
| Miami Marlins @ Toronto Blue Jays | Toronto Blue Jays | 78.0% | 63.0% | 15.0 | Miami Marlins |
| Philadelphia Phillies @ San Diego Padres | Philadelphia Phillies | 75.0% | 81.0% | -6.0 | San Diego Padres |
| Washington Nationals @ Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | 73.0% | 79.0% | -6.0 | Washington Nationals |
| Minnesota Twins @ Chicago White Sox | Chicago White Sox | 72.0% | 70.0% | 2.0 | Minnesota Twins |
| Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers | Texas Rangers | 70.0% | 50.0% | 20.0 | Houston Astros |
Our advanced model rates every MLB game by expected value, using thousands of historical splits as the backbone. Tonight's highest-EV picks are reserved for subscribers.
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We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.
There are 10 games on today's MLB slate; 10 have a meaningful bet/money gap.
The most-faded teams this season — by ATS record when they're a public favorite — are listed on the most-faded leaderboard.
These are data displays. We don't issue picks. Use the splits to inform your own bets — and bet responsibly.
Public favorites still win plenty of games — they're usually the better team. Where the public underperforms is against the spread on big-name teams in heavily televised matchups, where the line moves against them and erodes the EV. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: May 27, 2026 at 6:31 PM UTC
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