Today's MLB games with the strongest directional public lean — ranked by the highest share of bets concentrated on one side. Heavy lean usually means a name-brand team or a high-profile primetime matchup.
| Matchup | Public side | Bet % | Money % | Gap | Sharp side |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Los Angeles Dodgers | 96.0% | 83.0% | 13.0 | Colorado Rockies |
| St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers | 88.0% | 84.0% | 4.0 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| New York Yankees @ Kansas City Royals | New York Yankees | 85.0% | 94.0% | -9.0 | Kansas City Royals |
| Miami Marlins @ Toronto Blue Jays | Toronto Blue Jays | 79.0% | 75.0% | 4.0 | Miami Marlins |
| Washington Nationals @ Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | 73.0% | 77.0% | -4.0 | Washington Nationals |
| Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants | Arizona Diamondbacks | 73.0% | 84.0% | -11.0 | San Francisco Giants |
| Atlanta Braves @ Boston Red Sox | Atlanta Braves | 73.0% | 74.0% | -1.0 | Boston Red Sox |
| Philadelphia Phillies @ San Diego Padres | Philadelphia Phillies | 72.0% | 91.0% | -19.0 | San Diego Padres |
| Seattle Mariners @ Athletics | Seattle Mariners | 65.0% | 59.0% | 6.0 | Athletics |
| Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers | Texas Rangers | 65.0% | 63.0% | 2.0 | Houston Astros |
Our advanced model rates every MLB game by expected value, using thousands of historical splits as the backbone. Tonight's highest-EV picks are reserved for subscribers.
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We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.
There are 10 games on today's MLB slate; 10 have a meaningful bet/money gap.
The most-faded teams this season — by ATS record when they're a public favorite — are listed on the most-faded leaderboard.
These are data displays. We don't issue picks. Use the splits to inform your own bets — and bet responsibly.
A 70%+ public lean means casual bettors agree by a wide margin. The line builds in some of that lean — so the public side is rarely a value bet, even when it's the better team. Watch where the money lands relative to the bet count. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: May 27, 2026 at 7:36 PM UTC
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