Today's MLB games with the strongest directional public lean — ranked by the highest share of bets concentrated on one side. Heavy lean usually means a name-brand team or a high-profile primetime matchup.
| Matchup | Public side | Bet % | Money % | Gap | Sharp side |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers | Los Angeles Dodgers | 95.0% | 95.0% | 0.0 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| New York Yankees @ Washington Nationals | New York Yankees | 88.0% | 84.0% | 4.0 | Washington Nationals |
| Cleveland Guardians @ Miami Marlins | Miami Marlins | 87.0% | 95.0% | -8.0 | Cleveland Guardians |
| Los Angeles Angels @ Minnesota Twins | Minnesota Twins | 69.0% | 90.0% | -21.0 | Los Angeles Angels |
| Kansas City Royals @ Baltimore Orioles | Baltimore Orioles | 69.0% | 77.0% | -8.0 | Kansas City Royals |
| Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants | San Francisco Giants | 64.0% | 78.0% | -14.0 | Colorado Rockies |
| Athletics @ Chicago White Sox | Chicago White Sox | 63.0% | 87.0% | -24.0 | Athletics |
| Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres | Toronto Blue Jays | 62.0% | 71.0% | -9.0 | San Diego Padres |
| Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers | Philadelphia Phillies | 61.0% | 63.0% | -2.0 | Detroit Tigers |
| Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates | Milwaukee Brewers | 60.0% | 90.0% | -30.0 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
Our advanced model rates every MLB game by expected value, using thousands of historical splits as the backbone. Tonight's highest-EV picks are reserved for subscribers.
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We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.
There are 10 games on today's MLB slate; 10 have a meaningful bet/money gap.
The most-faded teams this season — by ATS record when they're a public favorite — are listed on the most-faded leaderboard.
These are data displays. We don't issue picks. Use the splits to inform your own bets — and bet responsibly.
A 70%+ public lean means casual bettors agree by a wide margin. The line builds in some of that lean — so the public side is rarely a value bet, even when it's the better team. Watch where the money lands relative to the bet count. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: July 11, 2026 at 9:01 PM UTC
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