90% of bets are on Los Angeles Dodgers in Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Dodgers — heavy public lean on a August 2, 2026 matchup.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boston Red Sox | 10% | 8% | +163 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 90% | 92% | -174 | |
| Run line | Boston Red Sox +1.5 | 13% | 12% | -140 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 | 87% | 88% | +125 | |
| Total | Over 7 | 75% | 73% | -115 |
| Under 7 | 25% | 27% | -122 |
Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Dodgers is one of the slate's lopsided public plays. 90% of the bet count on the moneyline market is sitting on Los Angeles Dodgers — the kind of one-way lean that usually shows up on a name-brand team in a high-profile primetime slot, not a coin-flip matchup.
The money side tells a slightly different story: 92% of dollars on Los Angeles Dodgers versus 90% of tickets. That's a small gap by itself, but in the context of a 90%+ public bet count, even a few points of money lag suggests the average bet on Boston Red Sox is materially larger. Books price these games knowing the public is coming — the line builds in the lean — which is why heavy public favorites historically underperform their implied win rate against the spread.
None of this is a pick. It's the snapshot of how money is landing on this game right now. See how we calculate splits →.
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A 10-point gap is the threshold we treat as noise vs. signal. 15+ points is meaningful — it usually means the average bet on the money side is materially larger than on the public side.
Public favorites still win plenty of games — they are usually the better team. Where the public underperforms is against the spread on big-name teams in nationally televised games.
Bet% is the share of tickets wagered on a side. Money% is the share of dollars. They diverge when one side draws bigger bets per ticket than the other.
Look for 15+ point gaps where the money is on the unpopular side. Those are the games where the average bet size is doing the talking.
When 70%+ of bets land on one side, the line builds in some of that lean — so the public favorite is rarely a value bet, even when it's the better team. Watch where the money lands relative to the bet count. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: August 2, 2026 at 5:10 AM UTC
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