Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets Betting Splits — July 10, 2026

Sharp money signal in Boston Red Sox at New York Mets: New York Mets has 49% of bets but only 12% of the dollars.

Splits at the latest snapshot

Market Side Bet % Money % Odds
Moneyline Boston Red Sox 51% 88% +125
New York Mets 49% 12% -140
Run line Boston Red Sox +1.5 64% 68% -165
New York Mets -1.5 36% 32% +155
Total Over 7.5 58% 58% -110
Under 7.5 42% 42% -105

What the data says

Boston Red Sox at New York Mets is one of the strongest sharp-money signals on tonight's MLB slate. On the moneyline market, 49% of bets are on New York Mets but only 12% of the dollars — a 37-point gap between bet count and money share that ranks among the largest divergences in the slate.

That gap is the cleanest sharp-money tell we have. When the bet count and dollar share point in different directions, the dollars are coming from fewer, larger checks — the kind of bets that distinguish high-volume, professional action from the public crowd. Books rarely give back this much line value on a casual mistake; the price you're seeing is what the market thinks of the divergence in real time.

None of this is a pick. It's where the money is landing — you decide what to do with it. See how we calculate splits →.

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Where this game ranks today

Slate rank
#1 of tonight's biggest splits — see the full ranking

Related

Frequently asked questions

How does Fade the Public Analytics calculate splits?

We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.

Should I bet on New York Mets tonight?

We don't issue picks. The splits show what the public and the money are doing — use them to inform your own read of the game.

Where can I bet {away} vs. {home}?

Any licensed sportsbook in your state offers MLB markets. We don't recommend specific books — see our responsible gambling resources before you wager.

What is a good bet% gap to look for?

Look for 15+ point gaps where the money is on the unpopular side. Those are the games where the average bet size is doing the talking.

What does it mean when New York Mets has 49% of bets but 12% of money?

When the bet count and the dollars don't agree, the dollars usually carry the sharper signal. A {gap}pp gap means the average bet on New York Mets is smaller than the average bet on the other side.

What is sharp money?

Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side — bigger checks per ticket on the contrarian view. See our methodology →

How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →

Last updated: July 10, 2026 at 6:08 PM UTC

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