Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Betting Splits — August 11, 2026

Sharp money signal in Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays: Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 has 55% of bets but only 17% of the dollars.

Splits at the latest snapshot

Market Side Bet % Money % Odds
Moneyline Boston Red Sox 44% 74% +123
Toronto Blue Jays 56% 26% -129
Run line Boston Red Sox +1.5 45% 83% -190
Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 55% 17% +170
Total Over 6.5 78% 69% -120
Under 6.5 22% 31% -120

What the data says

Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays is one of the strongest sharp-money signals on tonight's MLB slate. On the spread market, 55% of bets are on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 but only 17% of the dollars — a 38-point gap between bet count and money share that ranks among the largest divergences in the slate.

That gap is the cleanest sharp-money tell we have. When the bet count and dollar share point in different directions, the dollars are coming from fewer, larger checks — the kind of bets that distinguish high-volume, professional action from the public crowd. Books rarely give back this much line value on a casual mistake; the price you're seeing is what the market thinks of the divergence in real time.

None of this is a pick. It's where the money is landing — you decide what to do with it. See how we calculate splits →.

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Related

Frequently asked questions

How does Fade the Public Analytics calculate splits?

We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.

Should I bet on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 tonight?

We don't issue picks. The splits show what the public and the money are doing — use them to inform your own read of the game.

Where can I bet {away} vs. {home}?

Any licensed sportsbook in your state offers MLB markets. We don't recommend specific books — see our responsible gambling resources before you wager.

What is a meaningful bet% / money% gap?

A 10-point gap is the threshold we treat as noise vs. signal. 15+ points is meaningful — it usually means the average bet on the money side is materially larger than on the public side.

What is the difference between bet% and money%?

Bet% is the share of tickets wagered on a side. Money% is the share of dollars. They diverge when one side draws bigger bets per ticket than the other.

What is sharp money?

Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side — bigger checks per ticket on the contrarian view. See our methodology →

How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →

Last updated: September 6, 2026 at 2:38 PM UTC

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