93% of bets are on Over 7.5 in Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians — heavy public lean on a July 5, 2026 matchup.
| Market | Side | Bet % | Money % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chicago White Sox | 30% | 30% | +123 |
| Cleveland Guardians | 70% | 70% | -135 | |
| Run line | Chicago White Sox +1.5 | 38% | 54% | -190 |
| Cleveland Guardians -1.5 | 62% | 46% | +160 | |
| Total | Over 7.5 | 93% | 87% | +105 |
| Under 7.5 | 7% | 13% | -118 |
Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians is one of the slate's lopsided public plays. 93% of the bet count on the totals market is sitting on Over 7.5 — the kind of one-way lean that usually shows up on a name-brand team in a high-profile primetime slot, not a coin-flip matchup.
The money side tells a slightly different story: 87% of dollars on Over 7.5 versus 93% of tickets. That's a small gap by itself, but in the context of a 90%+ public bet count, even a few points of money lag suggests the average bet on Under 7.5 is materially larger. Books price these games knowing the public is coming — the line builds in the lean — which is why heavy public favorites historically underperform their implied win rate against the spread.
None of this is a pick. It's the snapshot of how money is landing on this game right now. See how we calculate splits →.
Our advanced model rates every MLB game by expected value, using thousands of historical splits as the backbone. Tonight's highest-EV picks are reserved for subscribers.
Want a free look? See tonight's biggest splits →
A 10-point gap is the threshold we treat as noise vs. signal. 15+ points is meaningful — it usually means the average bet on the money side is materially larger than on the public side.
Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side. See our learn page for more.
We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.
Any licensed sportsbook in your state offers MLB markets. We don't recommend specific books — see our responsible gambling resources before you wager.
We don't issue picks. The splits show what the public and the money are doing — use them to inform your own read of the game.
When 70%+ of bets land on one side, the line builds in some of that lean — so the public favorite is rarely a value bet, even when it's the better team. Watch where the money lands relative to the bet count. See our methodology →
How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →
Last updated: July 5, 2026 at 5:04 AM UTC
Every game on the slate, ranked by public-vs-money divergence. Splits-based top opportunities, updated continuously. No signup, no paywall.
See all of tonight's splits →