Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Splits — September 22, 2026

Notable bet/money split in Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox: a 28-point gap on Cleveland Guardians +1.5.

Splits at the latest snapshot

Market Side Bet % Money % Odds
Moneyline Cleveland Guardians 32% 39% +110
Boston Red Sox 68% 61% -125
Run line Cleveland Guardians +1.5 59% 31% -200
Boston Red Sox -1.5 41% 69% +176
Total Over 6.5 94% 93% -120
Under 6.5 6% 7% -124

What the data says

Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox shows a meaningful bet/money divergence on the spread market — not the biggest split on the slate, but worth a look. 59% of bets are on Cleveland Guardians +1.5 while only 31% of dollars are on the same side — a 28-point gap.

A 10 to 20-point gap is the band where the data starts to mean something but doesn't yet scream. It usually means a handful of larger bets landed on Boston Red Sox -1.5 without the public catching on yet, or the public is leaning on a side that the market doesn't fully respect. Either way, the money side here is Boston Red Sox -1.5, and the price reflects what the books think of that lean.

Worth noting, not worth chasing alone. Pair it with the broader slate context if you're going to use it. See how we calculate splits →.

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Where this game ranks today

Slate rank
#8 of tonight's biggest splits — see the full ranking

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Frequently asked questions

Are these picks or just data?

These are data displays. We don't issue picks. Use the splits to inform your own bets — and bet responsibly.

What is a good bet% gap to look for?

Look for 15+ point gaps where the money is on the unpopular side. Those are the games where the average bet size is doing the talking.

When does the public usually win?

Public favorites still win plenty of games — they are usually the better team. Where the public underperforms is against the spread on big-name teams in nationally televised games.

What does it mean when Cleveland Guardians +1.5 has 59% of bets but 31% of money?

When the bet count and the dollars don't agree, the dollars usually carry the sharper signal. A 28pp gap means the average bet on Cleveland Guardians +1.5 is smaller than the average bet on the other side.

What is a meaningful bet% / money% gap?

A 10-point gap is the threshold we treat as noise vs. signal. 15+ points is meaningful — it usually means the average bet on the money side is materially larger than on the public side.

What is sharp money?

Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side — bigger checks per ticket on the contrarian view. See our methodology →

How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →

Last updated: September 22, 2026 at 2:50 PM UTC

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