Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Splits — September 23, 2026

Notable bet/money split in Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox: a 22-point gap on Boston Red Sox -1.5.

Splits at the latest snapshot

Market Side Bet % Money % Odds
Moneyline Cleveland Guardians 26% 27% +114
Boston Red Sox 74% 73% -129
Run line Cleveland Guardians +1.5 26% 48% -197
Boston Red Sox -1.5 74% 52% +180
Total Over 6.5 91% 89% -118
Under 6.5 9% 11% +103

What the data says

Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox shows a meaningful bet/money divergence on the spread market — not the biggest split on the slate, but worth a look. 74% of bets are on Boston Red Sox -1.5 while only 52% of dollars are on the same side — a 22-point gap.

A 10 to 20-point gap is the band where the data starts to mean something but doesn't yet scream. It usually means a handful of larger bets landed on Cleveland Guardians +1.5 without the public catching on yet, or the public is leaning on a side that the market doesn't fully respect. Either way, the money side here is Cleveland Guardians +1.5, and the price reflects what the books think of that lean.

Worth noting, not worth chasing alone. Pair it with the broader slate context if you're going to use it. See how we calculate splits →.

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Where this game ranks today

Slate rank
#6 of tonight's biggest splits — see the full ranking

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Frequently asked questions

How does Fade the Public Analytics calculate splits?

We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.

What does it mean when Boston Red Sox -1.5 has 74% of bets but 52% of money?

When the bet count and the dollars don't agree, the dollars usually carry the sharper signal. A 22pp gap means the average bet on Boston Red Sox -1.5 is smaller than the average bet on the other side.

How often does the team with more money% cover?

In our season-to-date sample, the side with more money than bets covers slightly more than half the time. The edge grows with the size of the bet/money gap.

What is a meaningful bet% / money% gap?

A 10-point gap is the threshold we treat as noise vs. signal. 15+ points is meaningful — it usually means the average bet on the money side is materially larger than on the public side.

Are these picks or just data?

These are data displays. We don't issue picks. Use the splits to inform your own bets — and bet responsibly.

What is sharp money?

Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side — bigger checks per ticket on the contrarian view. See our methodology →

How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →

Last updated: September 23, 2026 at 2:44 PM UTC

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