Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals Betting Splits — May 6, 2026

Notable bet/money split in Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals: a 17-point gap on Cleveland Guardians +1.5.

Splits at the latest snapshot

Market Side Bet % Money % Odds
Moneyline Cleveland Guardians 45% 46% +120
Kansas City Royals 55% 54% -130
Run line Cleveland Guardians +1.5 47% 30% -188
Kansas City Royals -1.5 53% 70% +160
Total Over 7.5 90% 79% even
Under 7.5 10% 21% -115

What the data says

Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals shows a meaningful bet/money divergence on the spread market — not the biggest split on the slate, but worth a look. 47% of bets are on Cleveland Guardians +1.5 while only 30% of dollars are on the same side — a 17-point gap.

A 10 to 20-point gap is the band where the data starts to mean something but doesn't yet scream. It usually means a handful of larger bets landed on Kansas City Royals -1.5 without the public catching on yet, or the public is leaning on a side that the market doesn't fully respect. Either way, the money side here is Kansas City Royals -1.5, and the price reflects what the books think of that lean.

Worth noting, not worth chasing alone. Pair it with the broader slate context if you're going to use it. See how we calculate splits →.

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Related

Frequently asked questions

What is the difference between bet% and money%?

Bet% is the share of tickets wagered on a side. Money% is the share of dollars. They diverge when one side draws bigger bets per ticket than the other.

What is a meaningful bet% / money% gap?

A 10-point gap is the threshold we treat as noise vs. signal. 15+ points is meaningful — it usually means the average bet on the money side is materially larger than on the public side.

How does Fade the Public Analytics calculate splits?

We aggregate publicly reported sportsbook handle on a sub-hourly cadence. See our methodology page for the full breakdown.

What does it mean when Cleveland Guardians +1.5 has 47% of bets but 30% of money?

When the bet count and the dollars don't agree, the dollars usually carry the sharper signal. A {gap}pp gap means the average bet on Cleveland Guardians +1.5 is smaller than the average bet on the other side.

Are these picks or just data?

These are data displays. We don't issue picks. Use the splits to inform your own bets — and bet responsibly.

What is sharp money?

Sharp money is wagering activity from sophisticated, high-volume bettors. It shows up as a money percentage that exceeds the bet percentage on the same side — bigger checks per ticket on the contrarian view. See our methodology →

How we track public bets and money — see our methodology →

Last updated: May 27, 2026 at 9:50 PM UTC

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